MLB · 2026

8th by playoff odds30 clubs

Philadelphia

2nd · 70-58

Playoffs85%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

33

Win the next 33 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upFriday · Home6:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%Win → 94% · Loss → 86%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home19 AugMiami1Philadelphia▲ +4481% → 85%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division21%

Bye2%

Pennant9%

World Series5%

2nd in the table · 8th by playoff odds.

NL East finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

National League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 5th. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Friday · Home6:40 PM EDTPhiladelphia85%PlayoffsSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%Win → 94% · Loss → 86%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Home6:05 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%85% → 83% – 92%Playoffs Sunday · Home1:35 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%85% → 84% – 93%Playoffs Monday · Away9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 47%PHI 53%85% → 85% – 91%Playoffs

Full schedule34 to play

Friday · Home6:40 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%85% → 86% – 94%Playoffs Saturday · Home6:05 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%85% → 83% – 92%Playoffs Sunday · Home1:35 PM EDTSt. Louis10%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%STL 40%85% → 84% – 93%Playoffs Monday · Away9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 47%PHI 53%85% → 85% – 91%Playoffs Tuesday · Away9:40 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 47%PHI 53%85% → 84% – 90%Playoffs Wed 26 Aug · Away4:10 PM EDTSeattle21%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 47%PHI 53%85% → 83% – 90%Playoffs Fri 28 Aug · Away9:38 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 38%PHI 62%85% → 80% – 87%Playoffs Sat 29 Aug · Away10:07 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 38%PHI 62%85% → 80% – 87%Playoffs Sun 30 Aug · Away4:07 PM EDTAngels<1%PlayoffsMatch resultLAA 38%PHI 62%85% → 80% – 87%Playoffs Mon 31 Aug · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%85% → 79% – 88%Playoffs Tue 1 Sep · Away9:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%85% → 79% – 88%Playoffs Wed 2 Sep · Away3:40 PM EDTArizona39%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 50%PHI 50%85% → 79% – 88%Playoffs Fri 4 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%21% → 13% – 24%Division Sat 5 Sep · Home6:05 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%21% → 13% – 25%Division Sun 6 Sep · Home1:10 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%21% → 14% – 25%Division Mon 7 Sep · Home1:05 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%ATL 44%21% → 16% – 27%Division Tue 8 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 59%HOU 41%85% → 79% – 86%Playoffs Wed 9 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 59%HOU 41%85% → 80% – 86%Playoffs Thu 10 Sep · Home1:05 PM EDTHouston66%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 59%HOU 41%21% → 20% – 27%Division Fri 11 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%21% → 19% – 32%Division Sat 12 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%21% → 17% – 30%Division Sun 13 Sep · Away1:35 PM EDTAtlanta98%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 51%PHI 49%21% → 16% – 28%Division Tue 15 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 43%PHI 57%85% → 81% – 87%Playoffs Wed 16 Sep · Away6:45 PM EDTWashington<1%PlayoffsMatch resultWSH 43%PHI 57%85% → 82% – 88%Playoffs Thu 17 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%21% → 18% – 24%Division Fri 18 Sep · Away7:15 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%21% → 18% – 23%Division Sat 19 Sep · Away4:10 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%21% → 19% – 25%Division Sun 20 Sep · Away1:40 PM EDTMets<1%PlayoffsMatch resultNYM 46%PHI 54%21% → 19% – 25%Division Tue 22 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%21% → 18% – 24%Division Wed 23 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%21% → 18% – 24%Division Thu 24 Sep · Home6:05 PM EDTMilwaukee>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 50%MIL 50%21% → 17% – 23%Division Fri 25 Sep · Home6:40 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 54%TB 46%21% → 15% – 23%Division Sat 26 Sep · Home7:15 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 54%TB 46%21% → 13% – 19%Division Sun 27 Sep · Home3:05 PM EDTTampa Bay>99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 54%TB 46%21% → 13% – 19%Division

History

Final · Home19 AugMiami1Philadelphia▲ +4481% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugMiami4Philadelphia▲ +4675% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home17 AugMiami5Philadelphia▲ +10664% → 74%Playoffs

All results128 played

Final · Home19 AugMiami1Philadelphia▲ +4481% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugMiami4Philadelphia▲ +4675% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home17 AugMiami5Philadelphia▲ +10664% → 74%Playoffs Final · Away16 AugMinnesota5Philadelphia▼ -1762% → 61%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugMinnesota1Philadelphia±0955% → 55%Playoffs Final · Away13 AugMinnesota1Philadelphia▲ +7753% → 60%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugSt. Louis7Philadelphia±0160% → 60%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugSt. Louis2Philadelphia▲ +1066% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away10 AugSt. Louis5Philadelphia±0664% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home9 AugToronto6Philadelphia▲ +2762% → 64%Playoffs Final · Home8 AugToronto7Philadelphia▲ +2568% → 70%Playoffs Final · Home7 AugToronto5Philadelphia±0475% → 75%Playoffs Final · Home6 AugWashington3Philadelphia±0770% → 70%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugWashington10Philadelphia▼ -1478% → 77%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugWashington0Philadelphia±0571% → 71%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugWashington3Philadelphia±0668% → 68%Playoffs Final · Away2 AugBaltimore0Philadelphia±0863% → 63%Playoffs Final · Away1 AugBaltimore0Philadelphia▲ +1560% → 61%Playoffs Final · Away31 JulBaltimore6Philadelphia▼ -1469% → 68%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulMiami8Philadelphia▼ -8672% → 64%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulMiami1Philadelphia▼ -7079% → 72%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulMiami8Philadelphia±0782% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home26 JulYankees4Philadelphia▲ +41178% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulYankees3Philadelphia▼ -1183% → 82%Playoffs Final · Home24 JulYankees1Philadelphia▼ -1085% → 84%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulDodgers9Philadelphia▼ -3588% → 85%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulDodgers2Philadelphia±0191% → 91%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulDodgers7Philadelphia10 Final · Home19 JulMets6Philadelphia1 Final · Home18 JulMets1Philadelphia6 Final · Home16 JulMets4Philadelphia1 Final · Away12 JulDetroit0Philadelphia5 Final · Away11 JulDetroit2Philadelphia4 Final · Away10 JulDetroit10Philadelphia2 Final · Away9 JulCincinnati0Philadelphia1 Final · Away8 JulCincinnati11Philadelphia5 Final · Away7 JulCincinnati1Philadelphia4 Final · Away6 JulKansas City15Philadelphia1 Final · Away5 JulKansas City5Philadelphia2 Final · Away4 JulKansas City1Philadelphia6 Final · Home2 JulPittsburgh6Philadelphia1 Final · Home1 JulPittsburgh6Philadelphia10 Final · Home30 JunPittsburgh0Philadelphia8 Final · Home29 JunPittsburgh11Philadelphia7 Final · Away28 JunMets4Philadelphia5 Final · Away27 JunMets6Philadelphia2 Final · Away26 JunMets1Philadelphia2 Final · Away25 JunWashington5Philadelphia10 Final · Away24 JunWashington4Philadelphia5 Final · Away23 JunWashington9Philadelphia14 Final · Away22 JunWashington4Philadelphia1 Final · Home21 JunMets2Philadelphia6 Final · Home20 JunMets3Philadelphia15 Final · Home18 JunMets6Philadelphia4 Final · Home17 JunMiami12Philadelphia4 Final · Home16 JunMiami2Philadelphia8 Final · Home15 JunMiami0Philadelphia7 Final · Away14 JunMilwaukee4Philadelphia0 Final · Away13 JunMilwaukee8Philadelphia9 Final · Away12 JunMilwaukee6Philadelphia0 Final · Away10 JunToronto4Philadelphia7 Final · Away9 JunToronto3Philadelphia2 Final · Away8 JunToronto2Philadelphia5 Final · Home7 JunWhite Sox5Philadelphia9 Final · Home6 JunWhite Sox6Philadelphia3 Final · Home5 JunWhite Sox6Philadelphia8 Final · Home4 JunSan Diego4Philadelphia6 Final · Home3 JunSan Diego2Philadelphia3 Final · Home2 JunSan Diego2Philadelphia3 Final · Away31 MayDodgers9Philadelphia1 Final · Away30 MayDodgers3Philadelphia4 Final · Away29 MayDodgers4Philadelphia2 Final · Away27 MaySan Diego0Philadelphia3 Final · Away26 MaySan Diego3Philadelphia4 Final · Away25 MaySan Diego0Philadelphia3 Final · Home24 MayCleveland3Philadelphia1 Final · Home23 MayCleveland0Philadelphia3 Final · Home22 MayCleveland1Philadelphia0 Final · Home20 MayCincinnati9Philadelphia4 Final · Home19 MayCincinnati4Philadelphia1 Final · Home18 MayCincinnati4Philadelphia5 Final · Away17 MayPittsburgh0Philadelphia6 Final · Away16 MayPittsburgh0Philadelphia6 Final · Away15 MayPittsburgh9Philadelphia11 Final · Away14 MayBoston1Philadelphia3 Final · Away13 MayBoston3Philadelphia1 Final · Away12 MayBoston1Philadelphia2 Final · Home10 MayColorado0Philadelphia6 Final · Home9 MayColorado3Philadelphia9 Final · Home8 MayColorado9Philadelphia7 Final · Home7 MayAthletics12Philadelphia1 Final · Home6 MayAthletics3Philadelphia6 Final · Home5 MayAthletics1Philadelphia9 Final · Away4 MayMiami0Philadelphia1 Final · Away3 MayMiami2Philadelphia7 Final · Away2 MayMiami4Philadelphia0 Final · Away1 MayMiami5Philadelphia6 Final · Home30 AprSan Francisco5Philadelphia6 Final · Home30 AprSan Francisco2Philadelphia3 Final · Home28 AprSan Francisco0Philadelphia7 Final · Away26 AprAtlanta6Philadelphia2 Final · Away25 AprAtlanta5Philadelphia8 Final · Away24 AprAtlanta5Philadelphia3 Final · Away23 AprCubs8Philadelphia7 Final · Away22 AprCubs7Philadelphia2 Final · Away21 AprCubs7Philadelphia4 Final · Away20 AprCubs5Philadelphia1 Final · Home19 AprAtlanta4Philadelphia2 Final · Home18 AprAtlanta3Philadelphia1 Final · Home17 AprAtlanta9Philadelphia0 Final · Home15 AprCubs11Philadelphia2 Final · Home14 AprCubs10Philadelphia4 Final · Home13 AprCubs7Philadelphia13 Final · Home12 AprArizona4Philadelphia3 Final · Home11 AprArizona3Philadelphia4 Final · Home10 AprArizona5Philadelphia4 Final · Away8 AprSan Francisco5Philadelphia0 Final · Away7 AprSan Francisco6Philadelphia0 Final · Away6 AprSan Francisco4Philadelphia6 Final · Away5 AprColorado4Philadelphia1 Final · Away4 AprColorado1Philadelphia2 Final · Away3 AprColorado1Philadelphia10 Final · Home1 AprWashington5Philadelphia6 Final · Home31 MarWashington2Philadelphia3 Final · Home30 MarWashington13Philadelphia2 Final · Home29 MarTexas8Philadelphia3 Final · Home28 MarTexas5Philadelphia4 Final · Home26 MarTexas3Philadelphia5

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye2%

Philadelphia 92+ wins

Division Series

2PhiladelphiaHomeWild Card Series winner3 Dodgers or 6 Arizona

Alongside it: 1 Milwaukee v Wild Card Series winner

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 341. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	95	67
2	Philadelphia	94	68
3	Dodgers	93	69
4	Atlanta	90	72
5	Cubs	88	74
6	Arizona	88	74
-	San Diego	85	77
-	Washington	81	81

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series19%

Philadelphia 89+ wins

Wild Card Series

3PhiladelphiaHome6San Diego

Alongside it: 4 Cubs v 5 Atlanta

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,859. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	97	65
2	Dodgers	95	67
3	Philadelphia	91	71
4	Cubs	93	69
5	Atlanta	89	73
6	San Diego	87	75
-	Arizona	84	78
-	Pittsburgh	81	81

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card Series7%

Philadelphia 89+ wins

Wild Card Series

4PhiladelphiaHome5Cubs

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 St. Louis

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,355. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Dodgers	98	64
2	Milwaukee	97	65
3	Atlanta	93	69
4	Philadelphia	91	71
5	Cubs	89	73
6	St. Louis	86	76
-	San Diego	86	76
-	Arizona	83	79

Wild Card berth, on the road57%

Philadelphia 86+ wins

Wild Card Series

3DodgersHome6Philadelphia

Alongside it: 4 Cubs v 5 San Diego

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 11,377. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	95	67
2	Atlanta	93	69
3	Dodgers	92	70
4	Cubs	93	69
5	San Diego	92	70
6	Philadelphia	88	74
-	Arizona	87	75
-	St. Louis	80	82

Miss the postseason15%

Philadelphia under 88 wins

88% of this route
- below ArizonaArizona under 91 wins (94%)
12% of this route
- above ArizonaArizona 1+ game back (>99%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The National League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,691. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Milwaukee	102	60
2	Atlanta	98	64
3	Dodgers	94	68
4	Cubs	92	70
5	San Diego	88	74
6	Arizona	87	75
-	Philadelphia	85	77
-	St. Louis	84	78