Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
27th by playoff odds30 clubs

Montreal

14th · 5-5-10 · 20 pts
Playoffs8%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Home7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%Win → 13% · Draw → 6% · Loss → 4%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugColumbus1Montreal▲ +622% → 8%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup<1%

14th in the table · 27th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 15th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%Win → 13% · Draw → 6% · Loss → 4%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 71%Draw 17%MTL 12%8% → 6% – 17%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%8% → 5% – 17%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 31%Draw 26%CLT 43%8% → 4% – 15%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%8% → 4% – 13%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 71%Draw 17%MTL 12%8% → 6% – 17%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%8% → 5% – 17%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 31%Draw 26%CLT 43%8% → 4% – 15%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 50%Draw 25%MTL 25%8% → 5% – 15%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTColumbus26%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 37%Draw 27%CLB 36%8% → 4% – 14%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 27%Draw 26%CIN 47%8% → 5% – 15%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTToronto14%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 47%Draw 26%MTL 27%8% → 5% – 16%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 46%Draw 26%ATL 28%8% → 5% – 13%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 57%Draw 23%MTL 20%8% → 6% – 16%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home1:30 PM EDTNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 24%Draw 25%NSH 51%8% → 7% – 16%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultCLT 59%Draw 22%MTL 19%8% → 5% – 15%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Away2:00 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%8% → 4% – 14%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Home4:00 PM ESTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 24%Draw 25%VAN 51%8% → 3% – 11%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugColumbus1Montreal▲ +622% → 8%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugDC1Montreal±013% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugNew England2Montreal±024% → 4%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away19 AugColumbus1Montreal▲ +622% → 8%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugDC1Montreal±013% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugNew England2Montreal±024% → 4%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulMiami1Montreal▼ -1010% → 9%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulNashville1Montreal▼ -2012% → 10%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 JulToronto0Montreal0Final · Away23 MayDC4Montreal4Final · Home16 MayChicago2Montreal0Final · Home13 MayPortland2Montreal2Final · Home9 MayOrlando0Montreal2Final · Away2 MayAtlanta3Montreal1Final · Home25 AprNY City0Montreal1Final · Home18 AprNY Red Bulls1Montreal4Final · Home11 AprPhiladelphia2Montreal1Final · Away4 AprNew England3Montreal0Final · Away22 MarCincinnati4Montreal3Final · Away14 MarOrlando2Montreal1Final · Away8 MarNY Red Bulls0Montreal3Final · Away28 FebChicago3Montreal0Final · Away21 FebSan Diego5Montreal0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 10 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Montreal 47+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road1%

Montreal 43+ points

Round One
3ChicagoHome6Montreal

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 2 Miami v 7 New England · 4 Cincinnati v 5 NY City

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 298. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville78
2Miami61
3Chicago56
4Cincinnati52
5NY City46
6Montreal46
7New England44
8Charlotte42
9NY Red Bulls41
-Orlando41
-Columbus40
Reach the Wild Card game6%

Wild Card, host 2% · Wild Card, away 4%

Montreal 39+ points

Wild Card
8CincinnatiHome9Montreal

  1. 87% of this route

    • above DCDC out of the postseason (96%) · DC 1+ point back (90%)

  2. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,067. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville74
2NY City63
3Miami56
4Chicago52
5Charlotte50
6Orlando47
7New England45
8Cincinnati45
9Montreal42
-Philadelphia40
-Columbus37
-DC37
Miss the postseason92%