Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
26th by playoff odds30 clubs

LA Galaxy

13th · 5-7-8 · 22 pts
Playoffs9%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upWed 19 Aug · Home · Their biggest game left10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 41%Draw 27%SJ 32%Win → 17% · Draw → 7% · Loss → 5%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away15 AugHouston1LA Galaxy±0014% → 14%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup<1%

13th in the table · 26th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 13th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Wed 19 Aug · Home · Their biggest game left10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 41%Draw 27%SJ 32%Win → 17% · Draw → 7% · Loss → 5%Playoffs

Upcoming

Saturday · Away7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%9% → 6% – 17%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%LA 22%9% → 6% – 20%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%NE 31%9% → 6% – 14%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Wed 19 Aug · Home10:30 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 41%Draw 27%SJ 32%9% → 5% – 17%PlayoffsSaturday · Away7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 40%Draw 27%LA 33%9% → 6% – 17%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%LA 22%9% → 6% – 20%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home9:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 43%Draw 26%NE 31%9% → 6% – 14%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Away10:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultVAN 64%Draw 20%LA 16%9% → 8% – 19%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Home10:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 38%Draw 27%SEA 35%9% → 6% – 16%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTMinnesota43%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 52%Draw 24%LA 24%9% → 6% – 17%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home10:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 44%Draw 26%COL 30%9% → 4% – 14%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Away7:00 PM EDTSt. Louis74%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 50%Draw 25%LA 25%9% → 5% – 17%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTPortland49%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 40%Draw 27%POR 33%9% → 4% – 14%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 36%Draw 27%SD 37%9% → 4% – 14%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away9:00 PM EDTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultLAFC 60%Draw 22%LA 18%9% → 5% – 15%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 48%Draw 25%ATX 27%9% → 3% – 10%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 51%Draw 25%LA 24%9% → 5% – 14%Playoffs

History

Final · Away15 AugHouston1LA Galaxy±0014% → 14%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugDallas0LA Galaxy±0018% → 18%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulSan Jose1LA Galaxy▼ -9124% → 15%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away15 AugHouston1LA Galaxy±0014% → 14%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugDallas0LA Galaxy±0018% → 18%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulSan Jose1LA Galaxy▼ -9124% → 15%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulSt. Louis3LA Galaxy▼ -2132% → 30%PlayoffsFinal · Home17 JulLAFC3LA Galaxy0Final · Home23 MayHouston1LA Galaxy1Final · Away16 MaySeattle0LA Galaxy2Final · Away13 MaySporting KC3LA Galaxy1Final · Away9 MayAtlanta1LA Galaxy2Final · Home2 MayVancouver1LA Galaxy1Final · Home26 AprSalt Lake1LA Galaxy2Final · Away22 AprColumbus2LA Galaxy1Final · Away18 AprDallas2LA Galaxy2Final · Away11 AprAustin1LA Galaxy2Final · Home4 AprMinnesota2LA Galaxy1Final · Away22 MarPortland1LA Galaxy1Final · Home14 MarSporting KC2LA Galaxy1Final · Away7 MarColorado4LA Galaxy1Final · Home28 FebCharlotte0LA Galaxy3Final · Home22 FebNY City1LA Galaxy1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 33 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

LA Galaxy 51+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road3%

LA Galaxy 47+ points

Round One
2St. LouisHome7LA Galaxy

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 LAFC v 6 Dallas · 4 Houston v 5 San Jose

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 503. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver58
2St. Louis58
3LAFC55
4Houston52
5San Jose51
6Dallas51
7LA Galaxy49
8Portland47
9Seattle45
-Salt Lake44
-Colorado44
-Minnesota44
-San Diego44
Host the Wild Card game2%
Play the Wild Card game away4%

LA Galaxy 43+ points

Wild Card
8San DiegoHome9LA Galaxy

  1. 51% of this route

    • above MinnesotaMinnesota out of the postseason (>99%) · Minnesota 1+ point back (90%)
    • above ColoradoColorado out of the postseason (>99%) · Colorado 1+ point back (>99%)

  2. 30% of this route

  3. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 416. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver73
2San Jose56
3Houston55
4Dallas55
5Salt Lake53
6LAFC52
7Seattle51
8San Diego46
9LA Galaxy46
-St. Louis46
-Portland45
-Minnesota41
-Colorado40
Miss the postseason91%