Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
7th by playoff odds30 clubs

New England

2nd · 14-4-9 · 46 pts
Playoffs>99%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
3

Win the next 3 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Wednesday.

Next upSaturday · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England>99%PlayoffsSeattle89%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 43%Draw 26%SEA 31%Win → >99% · Draw → >99% · Loss → >99%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away26 SepSalt Lake3New England±00>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup2%

2nd in the table · 7th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England>99%PlayoffsSeattle89%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 43%Draw 26%SEA 31%Win → >99% · Draw → >99% · Loss → >99%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Away7:30 PM EDTCincinnati81%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 49%Draw 25%NE 26%>99% → 100% – 100%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 39%Draw 27%CHI 34%<1% → 0% – <1%ConferenceSat 24 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 53%Draw 24%NE 23%<1% → <1% – <1%Conference
Full schedule7 to play
Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTSeattle89%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 43%Draw 26%SEA 31%>99% → 100% – 100%PlayoffsWednesday · Away7:30 PM EDTCincinnati81%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 49%Draw 25%NE 26%>99% → 100% – 100%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 39%Draw 27%CHI 34%<1% → 0% – <1%ConferenceSat 24 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 53%Draw 24%NE 23%<1% → <1% – <1%ConferenceWed 28 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls49%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 50%Draw 25%RBNY 25%<1% → 0% – <1%ConferenceSun 1 Nov · Home7:00 PM ESTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 34%Draw 27%MIA 39%<1% → 0% – <1%ConferenceSat 7 Nov · Away4:00 PM ESTOrlando77%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 46%Draw 26%NE 28%<1% → 0% – <1%Conference

History

Final · Away26 SepSalt Lake3New England±00>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepOrlando2New England±04>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 SepChicago1New England▲ +1299% → >99%Playoffs
All results27 played
Final · Away26 SepSalt Lake3New England±00>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepOrlando2New England±04>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 SepChicago1New England▲ +1299% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 SepNY City1New England▲ +1299% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 SepLA Galaxy2New England±0199% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away30 AugColumbus1New England±0397% → 97%PlayoffsFinal · Home23 AugNY City1New England±0196% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away19 AugDC0New England▲ +11385% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away15 AugToronto2New England±0190% → 90%PlayoffsFinal · Home8 AugHouston2New England±0095% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugMontreal2New England±0296% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulAtlanta1New England▼ -2495% → 93%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulToronto0New England±0095% → 95%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 MayCharlotte1New England0Final · Home16 MayMinnesota1New England2Final · Home13 MayNashville3New England0Final · Home9 MayPhiladelphia1New England2Final · Home2 MayCharlotte0New England1Final · Away25 AprMiami1New England1Final · Away22 AprAtlanta1New England2Final · Home18 AprColumbus1New England2Final · Home11 AprDC0New England1Final · Home4 AprMontreal0New England3Final · Away21 MarSt. Louis3New England1Final · Home15 MarCincinnati1New England6Final · Away28 FebNY Red Bulls1New England0Final · Away21 FebNashville4New England1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-10-07

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home70%

New England 52+ points

Round One
3New EnglandHome6Philadelphia

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 2 Miami v 7 NY City · 4 Chicago v 5 Charlotte

  1. 60% of this route

  2. 40% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,524. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville73
2Miami59
3New England57
4Chicago54
5Charlotte53
6Philadelphia51
7NY City44
8Cincinnati44
9Orlando42
-Toronto42
-NY Red Bulls38
Reach Round One directly, on the road29%

New England 49+ points

Round One
4CharlotteHome5New England

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 2 Chicago v 7 Orlando · 3 Miami v 6 Philadelphia

  1. 85% of this route

  2. 15% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,974. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville69
2Chicago57
3Miami57
4Charlotte56
5New England52
6Philadelphia50
7Orlando48
8Cincinnati45
9NY Red Bulls44
-DC40
-NY City37
Reach the Wild Card game<1%

Wild Card, host <1% · Wild Card, away <1%

A possible long-shot route: 53 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

New England 46+ points

Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 2 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

New England under 50 points