NFL · 2026
Detroit Lions3rd NFC North - .500 pct vSun 15 Nov, 9:30 AM EST New England Patriots2nd AFC East - .500 pct
Match resultDetroit 41%Tie <1%New England 58%
What this game means
The three ways this game can go. Pick a result to see where it leaves every race each club is in.
At projected kickoff, this game is expected to move their regular-season chances by 9% on average. The result scenarios below are conditional on today's forecast cutoff, showing where each result leads from this forecast.
The result is worth up to 19 points in the Playoffs race.
Detroit Lions
Playoffs39%
Division13%
Conferenceseason odds3%
Super Bowlseason odds1%
Byeseason odds3%
New England Patriots
Playoffs64%
Division42%
Conferenceseason odds11%
Super Bowlseason odds6%
Byeseason odds8%
Detroit winPlayoffsDetroit Lions39%37%▼ -2New England Patriots64%56%▼ -8
TiePlayoffsDetroit Lions39%31%▼ -8New England Patriots64%70%▲ +6
New England winPlayoffsDetroit Lions39%20%▼ -19New England Patriots64%75%▲ +11
The race they're in
Two races at once: their division, and the wild card behind it.
AFC East · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1BuffaloDivision46%3-1-0.750-2New EnglandDivision42%2-2-0.50013JetsDivision7%1-3-0.2502NFC North · winner qualifies direct
DivisionW-L-TPCTGB
1MinnesotaDivision55%4-0-01.000-2ChicagoDivision22%3-1-0.75013DetroitDivision13%2-2-0.5002The wild card · top 7 in the AFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
6BaltimorePlayoffs61%3-1-0.7507New EnglandPlayoffs64%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8DenverPlayoffs58%2-2-0.5009PittsburghPlayoffs46%2-2-0.500The wild card · top 7 in the NFC qualify
PlayoffsW-L-TPCTWCGB
7CarolinaPlayoffs47%2-2-0.500Playoff line
8AtlantaPlayoffs51%2-2-0.5009DetroitPlayoffs39%2-2-0.500