Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
28th by playoff odds30 clubs

Atlanta

15th · 5-3-12 · 18 pts
Playoffs6%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
12

Lose the next 12 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Home7:00 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%Win → 12% · Draw → 7% · Loss → 6%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugMinnesota1Atlanta▲ +521% → 6%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup<1%

15th in the table · 28th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 15th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Home7:00 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%Win → 12% · Draw → 7% · Loss → 6%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Home7:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 30%Draw 26%CLT 44%6% → 5% – 14%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 73%Draw 16%ATL 11%6% → 7% – 16%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 33%Draw 27%ORL 40%6% → 4% – 12%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Sunday · Home7:00 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Draw 25%SKC 25%6% → 6% – 12%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home7:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 30%Draw 26%CLT 44%6% → 5% – 14%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 73%Draw 16%ATL 11%6% → 7% – 16%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 33%Draw 27%ORL 40%6% → 4% – 12%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTDC27%PlayoffsMatch resultDC 49%Draw 25%ATL 26%6% → 3% – 11%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away10:30 PM EDTPortland49%PlayoffsMatch resultPOR 56%Draw 23%ATL 21%6% → 3% – 9%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 33%Draw 27%NYC 40%6% → 2% – 8%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 26%Draw 25%CIN 49%6% → 2% – 8%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultMTL 46%Draw 26%ATL 28%6% → 2% – 9%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 20%Draw 23%MIA 57%6% → 4% – 11%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 30%Draw 26%CHI 44%6% → 3% – 9%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 58%Draw 23%ATL 19%6% → 3% – 11%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home4:30 PM ESTToronto14%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 41%Draw 27%TOR 32%6% → 2% – 7%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away4:00 PM ESTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 51%Draw 25%ATL 24%6% → 1% – 10%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugMinnesota1Atlanta▲ +521% → 6%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugNY Red Bulls1Atlanta±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugPhiladelphia3Atlanta±021% → 1%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away19 AugMinnesota1Atlanta▲ +521% → 6%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugNY Red Bulls1Atlanta±02<1% → <1%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugPhiladelphia3Atlanta±021% → 1%PlayoffsFinal · Away25 JulNew England4Atlanta▼ -113% → 2%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulCharlotte2Atlanta▲ +122% → 3%PlayoffsFinal · Away17 JulNashville1Atlanta0Final · Away24 MayColumbus2Atlanta0Final · Away16 MayOrlando1Atlanta1Final · Home9 MayLA Galaxy2Atlanta1Final · Home2 MayMontreal1Atlanta3Final · Away25 AprToronto1Atlanta2Final · Home22 AprNew England2Atlanta1Final · Home18 AprNashville2Atlanta0Final · Away11 AprChicago1Atlanta0Final · Home4 AprColumbus3Atlanta1Final · Home21 MarDC0Atlanta0Final · Home14 MarPhiladelphia1Atlanta3Final · Home7 MarSalt Lake3Atlanta2Final · Away28 FebSan Jose2Atlanta0Final · Away21 FebCincinnati2Atlanta0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 4 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Atlanta 50+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road1%

A possible long-shot route: 195 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Atlanta 42+ points

Round One
2MiamiHome7Atlanta

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 3 Chicago v 6 Charlotte · 4 Cincinnati v 5 New England

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 195. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville77
2Miami60
3Chicago57
4Cincinnati54
5New England53
6Charlotte52
7Atlanta45
8Orlando42
9DC42
-NY Red Bulls41
-Columbus40
Host the Wild Card game2%
Play the Wild Card game away3%
Miss the postseason94%