Magic Number - Colorado Rapids 2026

Playoffs67%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

6

Win the next 6 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sat 24 Oct.

Next upSaturday · Home9:30 PM EDTColorado67%PlayoffsSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%Win → 84% · Draw → 66% · Loss → 55%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away26 SepLA Galaxy3Colorado±0279% → 79%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%

Supporters' ShieldOut

MLS Cup<1%

8th in the table · 16th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 8th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home9:30 PM EDTColorado67%PlayoffsSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%Win → 84% · Draw → 66% · Loss → 55%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Home9:30 PM EDTMinnesota6%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 45%Draw 26%MIN 29%67% → 49% – 82%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultPOR 45%Draw 26%COL 29%67% → 56% – 88%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 32%Draw 27%VAN 41%67% → 58% – 86%Playoffs

Full schedule7 to play

Saturday · Home9:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%67% → 55% – 84%Playoffs Wednesday · Home9:30 PM EDTMinnesota6%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 45%Draw 26%MIN 29%67% → 49% – 82%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTPortland24%PlayoffsMatch resultPOR 45%Draw 26%COL 29%67% → 56% – 88%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home8:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 32%Draw 27%VAN 41%67% → 58% – 86%Playoffs Wed 28 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 50%Draw 25%COL 25%67% → 60% – 86%Playoffs Sat 31 Oct · Home9:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 35%Draw 27%CHI 38%67% → 57% – 86%Playoffs Sat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTDallas>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 57%Draw 23%COL 20%67% → 62% – 89%Playoffs

History

Final · Away26 SepLA Galaxy3Colorado±0279% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home19 SepSeattle3Colorado▲ +5376% → 81%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepMontreal0Colorado▲ +18160% → 78%Playoffs

All results27 played

Final · Away26 SepLA Galaxy3Colorado±0279% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home19 SepSeattle3Colorado▲ +5376% → 81%Playoffs Final · Home12 SepMontreal0Colorado▲ +18160% → 78%Playoffs Final · Away9 SepAustin1Colorado▲ +2156% → 58%Playoffs Final · Away5 SepColumbus3Colorado▼ -9065% → 56%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugSalt Lake0Colorado±0147% → 47%Playoffs Final · Away22 AugSan Diego3Colorado±0059% → 59%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugLAFC0Colorado±0137% → 37%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugSporting KC0Colorado±0227% → 27%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugAustin0Colorado±0117% → 17%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulSt. Louis1Colorado▲ +11014% → 25%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulSan Diego0Colorado±0114% → 14%Playoffs Final · Home23 MayDallas2Colorado1 Final · Away16 MaySalt Lake2Colorado1 Final · Away13 MayMinnesota0Colorado1 Final · Home9 MaySt. Louis1Colorado0 Final · Away2 MayHouston1Colorado0 Final · Away25 AprVancouver3Colorado1 Final · Away22 AprLAFC0Colorado0 Final · Home18 AprMiami3Colorado2 Final · Home11 AprHouston2Colorado6 Final · Away4 AprToronto3Colorado2 Final · Away21 MarSporting KC1Colorado4 Final · Away14 MarNY City3Colorado1 Final · Home7 MarLA Galaxy1Colorado4 Final · Home28 FebPortland0Colorado2 Final · Away22 FebSeattle2Colorado0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home1%

A possible long-shot route: 187 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Colorado 51+ points

Round One

4ColoradoHome5San Jose

Alongside it: 1 Dallas v Wild Card winner · 2 Vancouver v 7 LAFC · 3 St. Louis v 6 Seattle

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 187. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	60
2	Vancouver	57
3	St. Louis	57
4	Colorado	53
5	San Jose	51
6	Seattle	51
7	LAFC	50
8	Houston	48
9	Minnesota	45
-	LA Galaxy	44
-	Portland	43

Reach Round One directly, on the road25%

Colorado 46+ points

Round One

2VancouverHome7Colorado

Alongside it: 1 Dallas v Wild Card winner · 3 St. Louis v 6 LAFC · 4 San Jose v 5 Houston

84% of this route
- above SeattleSeattle under 49 points (90%)
16% of this route
- below SeattleSeattle under 55 points (93%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,150. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	63
2	Vancouver	59
3	St. Louis	59
4	San Jose	58
5	Houston	54
6	LAFC	50
7	Colorado	48
8	Seattle	45
9	Portland	44
-	LA Galaxy	44
-	Austin	43

Host the Wild Card game22%

Colorado 44+ points

Wild Card

8ColoradoHome9LA Galaxy

84% of this route
- above LA GalaxyLA Galaxy under 46 points (91%)
16% of this route
- below LA GalaxyLA Galaxy under 52 points (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,696. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	60
2	Vancouver	58
3	LAFC	57
4	San Jose	54
5	Houston	54
6	St. Louis	53
7	Seattle	50
8	Colorado	46
9	LA Galaxy	43
-	San Diego	42
-	Salt Lake	41
-	Portland	41

Play the Wild Card game away19%

Colorado 42+ points

Wild Card

8LA GalaxyHome9Colorado

54% of this route
- below LA GalaxyLA Galaxy under 51 points (93%)
46% of this route
- above LA GalaxyLA Galaxy out of the postseason (>99%) · LA Galaxy under 45 points (96%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,107. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Vancouver	58
2	San Jose	57
3	Dallas	56
4	St. Louis	55
5	Houston	52
6	LAFC	50
7	Seattle	48
8	LA Galaxy	47
9	Colorado	44
-	San Diego	44
-	Salt Lake	42

Miss the postseason33%

Colorado under 45 points

56% of this route
- below LA GalaxyLA Galaxy under 49 points (91%)
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 48 points (92%)
30% of this route
- below LA GalaxyLA Galaxy under 50 points (95%)
- above San DiegoSan Diego 1+ point back (>99%)
14% of this route
- above LA GalaxyLA Galaxy 1+ point back (>99%)
- below San DiegoSan Diego under 49 points (95%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 3,668. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Dallas	61
2	Vancouver	60
3	San Jose	55
4	Houston	55
5	St. Louis	54
6	LAFC	52
7	LA Galaxy	45
8	San Diego	44
9	Salt Lake	43
-	Seattle	42
-	Colorado	41