Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
22th by playoff odds30 clubs

Philadelphia

13th · 5-5-10 · 20 pts
Playoffs36%
Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSaturday · Away8:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 36%Draw 27%PHI 37%Win → 43% · Draw → 31% · Loss → 28%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home19 AugMiami2Philadelphia▲ +3233% → 36%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup<1%

13th in the table · 22th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 11th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away8:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 36%Draw 27%PHI 37%Win → 43% · Draw → 31% · Loss → 28%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%PHI 34%36% → 25% – 50%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%36% → 23% – 44%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 36%Draw 27%CIN 37%36% → 27% – 47%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Saturday · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 36%Draw 27%PHI 37%36% → 28% – 43%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%PHI 34%36% → 25% – 50%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%36% → 23% – 44%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 36%Draw 27%CIN 37%36% → 27% – 47%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Away9:00 PM EDTSan Diego56%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 48%Draw 25%PHI 27%36% → 27% – 46%PlayoffsSat 19 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 29%Draw 26%PHI 45%36% → 23% – 42%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 45%Draw 26%ORL 29%36% → 20% – 42%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 45%Draw 26%RSL 29%36% → 22% – 42%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 49%Draw 25%PHI 26%36% → 26% – 46%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Home2:30 PM EDTCharlotte95%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 41%Draw 27%CLT 32%36% → 25% – 45%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 49%Draw 25%NE 26%36% → 24% – 44%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNSH 57%Draw 23%PHI 20%36% → 31% – 53%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Away2:00 PM EDTCincinnati99%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 54%Draw 24%PHI 22%36% → 29% – 51%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Home4:00 PM ESTToronto14%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 54%Draw 24%TOR 22%36% → 23% – 47%Playoffs

History

Final · Home19 AugMiami2Philadelphia▲ +3233% → 36%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 AugNY City2Philadelphia▲ +16317% → 33%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugAtlanta2Philadelphia▲ +1310% → 11%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Home19 AugMiami2Philadelphia▲ +3233% → 36%PlayoffsFinal · Away16 AugNY City2Philadelphia▲ +16317% → 33%PlayoffsFinal · Home1 AugAtlanta2Philadelphia▲ +1310% → 11%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulSeattle0Philadelphia▼ -218% → 6%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulNY Red Bulls1Philadelphia▲ +434% → 8%PlayoffsFinal · Away24 MayMiami6Philadelphia4Final · Home16 MayColumbus1Philadelphia1Final · Away13 MayOrlando4Philadelphia3Final · Away9 MayNew England2Philadelphia1Final · Home2 MayNashville0Philadelphia0Final · Away25 AprColumbus2Philadelphia0Final · Away22 AprToronto3Philadelphia3Final · Home18 AprDC0Philadelphia0Final · Away11 AprMontreal1Philadelphia2Final · Away4 AprCharlotte2Philadelphia1Final · Home21 MarChicago2Philadelphia1Final · Away14 MarAtlanta3Philadelphia1Final · Home7 MarSan Jose1Philadelphia0Final · Home1 MarNY City2Philadelphia1Final · Away21 FebDC1Philadelphia0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home1%

A possible long-shot route: 194 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Philadelphia 49+ points

Round One
4PhiladelphiaHome5NY Red Bulls

Alongside it: 1 Miami v Wild Card winner · 2 Nashville v 7 New England · 3 Chicago v 6 Cincinnati

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 194. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Miami76
2Nashville75
3Chicago57
4Philadelphia52
5NY Red Bulls48
6Cincinnati48
7New England47
8Charlotte47
9NY City45
-Orlando43
-Columbus37
Reach Round One directly, on the road12%

Philadelphia 44+ points

Round One
2MiamiHome7Philadelphia

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 3 Charlotte v 6 Cincinnati · 4 Chicago v 5 New England

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,445. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville71
2Miami67
3Charlotte56
4Chicago55
5New England53
6Cincinnati49
7Philadelphia47
8NY City42
9NY Red Bulls41
-Orlando41
-Toronto40
Host the Wild Card game10%

Philadelphia 41+ points

Wild Card
8PhiladelphiaHome9Cincinnati

  1. 83% of this route

  2. 17% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,721. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville71
2Chicago64
3Miami59
4New England53
5Charlotte52
6Orlando50
7Columbus46
8Philadelphia44
9Cincinnati42
-Toronto40
-NY Red Bulls39
-DC39
Play the Wild Card game away13%

Philadelphia 40+ points

Wild Card
8CharlotteHome9Philadelphia

  1. 83% of this route

    • above DCDC out of the postseason (>99%) · DC 1+ point back (92%)

  2. 17% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,070. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville67
2Chicago64
3Miami64
4New England60
5Cincinnati52
6NY City48
7NY Red Bulls45
8Charlotte43
9Philadelphia42
-Columbus41
-DC37
-Toronto36
Miss the postseason64%

Philadelphia under 43 points

  1. 59% of this route

  2. 26% of this route

  3. 15% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,560. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville70
2Miami70
3Charlotte55
4New England54
5Chicago53
6NY City52
7Cincinnati47
8NY Red Bulls43
9Orlando41
-DC41
-Toronto39
-Philadelphia36