Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
17th by playoff odds30 clubs

San Diego

12th · 6-6-7 · 24 pts
Playoffs56%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
15

Win the next 15 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
14

Lose the next 14 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Happening nowIn progressAwayStarted 10:30 PM EDTSan DiegoPortland
Last resultFinal · Away15 AugLAFC0San Diego±0134% → 34%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup1%

12th in the table · 17th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 9th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The game in progress, what follows it, and what already happened.

Happening now

In progressAwayStarted 10:30 PM EDTSan DiegoPortland

Upcoming

Saturday · Home10:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%COL 22%56% → 43% – 68%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%LA 22%56% → 43% – 67%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 42%Draw 26%SD 32%56% → 49% – 70%Playoffs
Full schedule15 to play
In progressAwayStarted 10:30 PM EDTPortlandSaturday · Home10:30 PM EDTColorado37%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%COL 22%56% → 43% – 68%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Home10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 54%Draw 24%LA 22%56% → 43% – 67%PlayoffsSat 5 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 42%Draw 26%SD 32%56% → 49% – 70%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home10:30 PM EDTSan Jose91%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 50%Draw 25%SJ 25%56% → 43% – 66%PlayoffsSun 13 Sep · Home9:00 PM EDTPhiladelphia36%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 48%Draw 25%PHI 27%56% → 43% – 64%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away7:00 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 59%Draw 22%SD 19%56% → 52% – 72%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away8:30 PM EDTAustin1%PlayoffsMatch resultATX 33%Draw 27%SD 40%56% → 48% – 69%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 36%Draw 27%SD 37%56% → 48% – 70%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTHouston99%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 44%Draw 26%HOU 30%56% → 48% – 70%PlayoffsSat 17 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTLA Galaxy9%PlayoffsMatch resultLA 36%Draw 27%SD 37%56% → 50% – 73%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTSeattle64%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 47%Draw 26%SEA 27%56% → 46% – 70%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Away10:30 PM EDTVancouver>99%PlayoffsMatch resultVAN 54%Draw 24%SD 22%56% → 53% – 74%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Away3:00 PM EDTSt. Louis74%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 40%Draw 27%SD 33%56% → 52% – 75%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Home7:00 PM ESTSporting KC<1%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 65%Draw 20%SKC 15%56% → 47% – 69%Playoffs

History

Final · Away15 AugLAFC0San Diego±0134% → 34%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugMinnesota1San Diego±0135% → 35%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulDallas0San Diego▲ +9130% → 39%Playoffs
All results19 played
Final · Away15 AugLAFC0San Diego±0134% → 34%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugMinnesota1San Diego±0135% → 35%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulDallas0San Diego▲ +9130% → 39%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulColorado1San Diego±0036% → 36%PlayoffsFinal · Home23 MayVancouver4San Diego2Final · Home16 MayCincinnati3San Diego3Final · Home13 MayAustin0San Diego5Final · Away9 MaySeattle1San Diego1Final · Home2 MayLAFC2San Diego2Final · Home25 AprPortland2San Diego1Final · Away22 AprHouston1San Diego0Final · Away18 AprSalt Lake4San Diego2Final · Home11 AprMinnesota2San Diego1Final · Away4 AprSan Jose3San Diego0Final · Home22 MarSalt Lake2San Diego2Final · Away14 MarDallas3San Diego3Final · Away7 MarSporting KC0San Diego1Final · Home1 MarSt. Louis0San Diego2Final · Home21 FebMontreal0San Diego5

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 Game on 15 Aug: 34% to 46%2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home6%

San Diego 52+ points

Round One
3San DiegoHome6St. Louis

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 2 Salt Lake v 7 LAFC · 4 Minnesota v 5 Houston

  1. 70% of this route

  2. 17% of this route

  3. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 888. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver64
2Salt Lake63
3San Diego55
4Minnesota55
5Houston53
6St. Louis53
7LAFC52
8Dallas50
9San Jose49
-Colorado48
-Seattle40
Reach Round One directly, on the road25%

San Diego 48+ points

Round One
3LAFCHome6San Diego

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 2 Houston v 7 San Jose · 4 Dallas v 5 Salt Lake

  1. 58% of this route

  2. 23% of this route

  3. 19% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,932. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver65
2Houston59
3LAFC59
4Dallas59
5Salt Lake54
6San Diego51
7San Jose50
8Minnesota46
9St. Louis46
-Seattle45
-LA Galaxy42
Host the Wild Card game12%

San Diego 45+ points

Wild Card
8San DiegoHome9St. Louis

  1. 64% of this route

  2. 19% of this route

  3. 16% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,512. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver66
2LAFC63
3Seattle56
4Houston55
5Dallas51
6Salt Lake51
7San Jose48
8San Diego48
9St. Louis46
-Minnesota43
-Colorado41
Play the Wild Card game away13%
Miss the postseason44%

San Diego under 48 points

  1. 60% of this route

  2. 24% of this route

  3. 16% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,248. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver70
2LAFC60
3Dallas58
4Houston56
5Salt Lake53
6St. Louis50
7Seattle49
8Portland47
9Minnesota47
-San Jose46
-LA Galaxy43
-San Diego41