Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
9th by playoff odds30 clubs

San Jose

4th · 13-6-8 · 45 pts
Playoffs>99%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
3

Win the next 3 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Wednesday.

Next upSaturday · Away9:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsColorado67%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%Win → 7% · Draw → 4% · Loss → 1%Conference
Last resultFinal · Home26 SepPortland1San Jose±03>99% → >99%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference4%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup3%

4th in the table · 9th by playoff odds.

Western Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 4th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Away9:30 PM EDTSan Jose>99%PlayoffsColorado67%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%Win → 7% · Draw → 4% · Loss → 1%Conference

Upcoming

Wednesday · Away9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 38%Draw 27%SJ 35%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 17 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultSJ 31%Draw 26%NSH 43%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 24 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTDallas>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 53%Draw 24%SJ 23%4% → 1% – 8%Conference
Full schedule7 to play
Saturday · Away9:30 PM EDTColorado67%PlayoffsMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%4% → 1% – 7%ConferenceWednesday · Away9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 38%Draw 27%SJ 35%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 17 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultSJ 31%Draw 26%NSH 43%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 24 Oct · Away8:30 PM EDTDallas>99%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 53%Draw 24%SJ 23%4% → 1% – 8%ConferenceWed 28 Oct · Home10:30 PM EDTColorado67%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 50%Draw 25%COL 25%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 31 Oct · Home5:00 PM EDTSalt Lake19%PlayoffsMatch resultSJ 51%Draw 25%RSL 24%4% → 1% – 5%ConferenceSat 7 Nov · Away7:00 PM ESTMinnesota6%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%4% → 1% – 5%Conference

History

Final · Home26 SepPortland1San Jose±03>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepLAFC2San Jose▲ +1299% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 SepHouston0San Jose▲ +4195% → 99%Playoffs
All results27 played
Final · Home26 SepPortland1San Jose±03>99% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home19 SepLAFC2San Jose▲ +1299% → >99%PlayoffsFinal · Home12 SepHouston0San Jose▲ +4195% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away9 SepSan Diego2San Jose±0383% → 83%PlayoffsFinal · Away5 SepAustin1San Jose▲ +3177% → 80%PlayoffsFinal · Away29 AugHouston0San Jose▲ +2074% → 76%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 AugMinnesota5San Jose±0185% → 85%PlayoffsFinal · Away19 AugLA Galaxy1San Jose±0091% → 91%PlayoffsFinal · Home15 AugSt. Louis3San Jose±0196% → 96%PlayoffsFinal · Away1 AugCincinnati4San Jose±0298% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulLA Galaxy1San Jose▼ -1199% → 98%PlayoffsFinal · Home22 JulOrlando4San Jose±0099% → 99%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 MayPortland1San Jose3Final · Home16 MayDallas3San Jose2Final · Away13 MaySeattle3San Jose2Final · Home9 MayVancouver1San Jose1Final · Away2 MayToronto1San Jose1Final · Away25 AprSt. Louis2San Jose3Final · Home22 AprAustin1San Jose5Final · Away19 AprLAFC1San Jose4Final · Away11 AprSporting KC1San Jose3Final · Home4 AprSan Diego0San Jose3Final · Away21 MarVancouver0San Jose1Final · Home15 MarSeattle1San Jose0Final · Away7 MarPhiladelphia0San Jose1Final · Home28 FebAtlanta0San Jose2Final · Home21 FebSporting KC0San Jose3

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-10-07

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home60%

San Jose 53+ points

Round One
2San JoseHome7Seattle

Alongside it: 1 Vancouver v Wild Card winner · 3 Dallas v 6 LAFC · 4 St. Louis v 5 Houston

  1. 88% of this route

  2. 12% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 10,544. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Vancouver58
2San Jose57
3Dallas56
4St. Louis55
5Houston52
6LAFC50
7Seattle48
8LA Galaxy47
9Colorado44
-San Diego44
-Salt Lake42
Reach Round One directly, on the road39%

San Jose 48+ points

Round One
4HoustonHome5San Jose

Alongside it: 1 Dallas v Wild Card winner · 2 Vancouver v 7 Seattle · 3 St. Louis v 6 LAFC

  1. 53% of this route

  2. 32% of this route

  3. 15% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,141. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Dallas63
2Vancouver61
3St. Louis59
4Houston56
5San Jose52
6LAFC49
7Seattle49
8Colorado48
9LA Galaxy44
-San Diego41
-Austin40
Reach the Wild Card game1%

Wild Card, host 1% · Wild Card, away <1%

San Jose 46+ points

Wild Card
8San JoseHome9Salt Lake
How the table finishedthe middle season
The Western Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 255. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Dallas63
2Vancouver62
3LAFC56
4St. Louis56
5Houston55
6Seattle50
7Colorado48
8San Jose47
9Salt Lake45
-LA Galaxy43
-San Diego43
Miss the postseason<1%

A possible long-shot route: 8 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

San Jose under 48 points