Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
32th by playoff odds32 clubs

Arizona

32th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs8%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSun 13 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left4:25 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 86%Tie <1%ARI 14%Win → 3% · Tie → 1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division2%
Bye<1%
Conference<1%
Super Bowl<1%

32th by playoff odds.

NFC West finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 16th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Sun 13 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left4:25 PM EDTArizona8%PlayoffsChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 86%Tie <1%ARI 14%Win → 3% · Tie → 1% · Loss → <1%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 12%Tie <1%SEA 88%8% → 1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 88%Tie <1%ARI 12%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 64%Tie <1%ARI 36%8% → <1% – 1%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 86%Tie <1%ARI 14%8% → <1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 12%Tie <1%SEA 88%8% → 1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away4:05 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 88%Tie <1%ARI 12%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 64%Tie <1%ARI 36%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 24%Tie <1%DET 75%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away4:05 PM EDTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 88%Tie <1%ARI 12%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home4:05 PM EDTDenver79%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 13%Tie <1%DEN 86%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 75%Tie <1%ARI 25%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 93%Tie <1%ARI 7%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home4:05 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 20%Tie <1%LAR 80%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTKansas City24%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 71%Tie <1%ARI 29%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 43%Tie <1%WAS 57%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home4:05 PM ESTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 21%Tie <1%PHI 79%8% → <1% – 2%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home4:05 PM ESTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 54%Tie <1%NYJ 45%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 73%Tie <1%ARI 27%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas10%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 58%Tie <1%LV 41%8% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM EST49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 20%Tie <1%SF 80%8% → 1% – 2%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye<1%

A possible long-shot route: 71 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

Arizona 13+ wins

Win the division, host a Wild Card game1%

Arizona 10+ wins

Wild Card Round
3ArizonaHome6Green Bay

Alongside it: 2 Atlanta v 7 Seattle · 4 Minnesota v 5 Rams

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 270. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1430
2Atlanta1250
3Arizona1250
4Minnesota1250
5Rams1160
6Green Bay980
7Seattle980
-Carolina980
-49ers890
Wild Card berth, on the road7%

Arizona 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
2PhiladelphiaHome7Arizona

Alongside it: 3 Detroit v 6 Minnesota · 4 Tampa Bay v 5 Atlanta

  1. 55% of this route

  2. 28% of this route

  3. 16% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 745. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Seattle1520
2Philadelphia1421
3Detroit1250
4Tampa Bay1160
5Atlanta1160
6Minnesota1160
7Arizona1061
-Rams7100
-Dallas5111
-Washington5120
Miss the postseason92%