Magic Number - New York Red Bulls 2026

Playoffs49%

Next upSaturday · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls49%PlayoffsSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%SD 34%Win → 66% · Draw → 39% · Loss → 33%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Home30 SepSt. Louis3NY Red Bulls±0064% → 64%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

ConferenceOut

Supporters' ShieldOut

MLS Cup<1%

8th in the table · 19th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish

1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 9th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls49%PlayoffsSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%SD 34%Win → 66% · Draw → 39% · Loss → 33%Playoffs

Upcoming

Wednesday · Away7:30 PM EDTDC14%PlayoffsMatch resultDC 41%Draw 27%RBNY 32%49% → 29% – 67%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTToronto11%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 46%Draw 26%TOR 28%49% → 27% – 62%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home5:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 29%Draw 26%MIA 45%49% → 35% – 66%Playoffs

Full schedule7 to play

Saturday · Home7:30 PM EDTSan Diego28%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%SD 34%49% → 33% – 66%Playoffs Wednesday · Away7:30 PM EDTDC14%PlayoffsMatch resultDC 41%Draw 27%RBNY 32%49% → 29% – 67%Playoffs Sat 17 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTToronto11%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 46%Draw 26%TOR 28%49% → 27% – 62%Playoffs Sat 24 Oct · Home5:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 29%Draw 26%MIA 45%49% → 35% – 66%Playoffs Wed 28 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTNew England>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 50%Draw 25%RBNY 25%49% → 37% – 67%Playoffs Sun 1 Nov · Away4:30 PM ESTNashvilleClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultNSH 65%Draw 20%RBNY 15%49% → 41% – 68%Playoffs Sat 7 Nov · Home4:00 PM ESTAtlanta3%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 50%Draw 25%ATL 25%49% → 32% – 59%Playoffs

History

Final · Home30 SepSt. Louis3NY Red Bulls±0064% → 64%Playoffs Final · Away18 SepNY City0NY Red Bulls▲ +26133% → 59%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepColumbus0NY Red Bulls±0120% → 20%Playoffs

All results27 played

Final · Home30 SepSt. Louis3NY Red Bulls±0064% → 64%Playoffs Final · Away18 SepNY City0NY Red Bulls▲ +26133% → 59%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepColumbus0NY Red Bulls±0120% → 20%Playoffs Final · Away9 SepLAFC2NY Red Bulls±0026% → 26%Playoffs Final · Away5 SepSeattle0NY Red Bulls▼ -4035% → 31%Playoffs Final · Home29 AugPhiladelphia3NY Red Bulls▼ -16150% → 34%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugChicago1NY Red Bulls▼ -2152% → 50%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugNashville1NY Red Bulls▼ -7059% → 52%Playoffs Final · Away15 AugAtlanta2NY Red Bulls±0172% → 72%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugOrlando2NY Red Bulls±0357% → 57%Playoffs Final · Home25 JulCharlotte2NY Red Bulls▼ -8080% → 72%Playoffs Final · Away22 JulPhiladelphia3NY Red Bulls▼ -6186% → 80%Playoffs Final · Away23 MaySporting KC1NY Red Bulls2 Final · Home16 MayNY City1NY Red Bulls1 Final · Home13 MayColumbus2NY Red Bulls3 Final · Away9 MayChicago1NY Red Bulls3 Final · Home2 MayDallas2NY Red Bulls0 Final · Away25 AprCincinnati2NY Red Bulls0 Final · Home22 AprDC4NY Red Bulls4 Final · Away18 AprMontreal4NY Red Bulls1 Final · Away11 AprMiami2NY Red Bulls2 Final · Home4 AprCincinnati2NY Red Bulls4 Final · Away21 MarCharlotte6NY Red Bulls1 Final · Away14 MarToronto1NY Red Bulls1 Final · Home8 MarMontreal3NY Red Bulls0 Final · Home28 FebNew England0NY Red Bulls1 Final · Away21 FebOrlando1NY Red Bulls2

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home<1%

A possible long-shot route: 10 of 20,000 simulations reached it.

NY Red Bulls 51+ points

Reach Round One directly, on the road12%

NY Red Bulls 44+ points

Round One

2MiamiHome7NY Red Bulls

Alongside it: 1 Nashville v Wild Card winner · 3 New England v 6 Philadelphia · 4 Chicago v 5 Charlotte

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,348. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	70
2	Miami	64
3	New England	62
4	Chicago	60
5	Charlotte	56
6	Philadelphia	49
7	NY Red Bulls	47
8	Cincinnati	44
9	Orlando	43
-	NY City	40
-	Columbus	39

Host the Wild Card game15%

NY Red Bulls 42+ points

Wild Card

8NY Red BullsHome9Cincinnati

58% of this route
- above NY CityNY City out of the postseason (>99%) · NY City 2+ points back (91%)
29% of this route
- above NY CityNY City under 46 points (92%)
14% of this route
- below NY CityNY City under 50 points (90%)
- above CincinnatiCincinnati under 47 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,777. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	73
2	Chicago	60
3	Miami	60
4	Charlotte	58
5	New England	56
6	Orlando	51
7	Philadelphia	47
8	NY Red Bulls	45
9	Cincinnati	45
-	NY City	40
-	DC	38

Play the Wild Card game away21%

NY Red Bulls 41+ points

Wild Card

8OrlandoHome9NY Red Bulls

67% of this route
- above NY CityNY City out of the postseason (>99%) · NY City under 44 points (95%)
33% of this route
- below NY CityNY City under 50 points (94%)

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,878. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	72
2	Miami	60
3	Chicago	57
4	Charlotte	56
5	New England	55
6	Philadelphia	50
7	Cincinnati	46
8	Orlando	45
9	NY Red Bulls	43
-	NY City	40
-	DC	38
-	Toronto	37

Miss the postseason51%

NY Red Bulls under 43 points

How the table finishedthe middle season

The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 10,282. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	Pts
1	Nashville	69
2	Miami	64
3	Chicago	60
4	Philadelphia	54
5	New England	54
6	Charlotte	49
7	Orlando	44
8	Atlanta	44
9	Cincinnati	43
-	NY City	43
-	NY Red Bulls	40