Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
6th by playoff odds32 clubs

Philadelphia

6th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs65%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSun 13 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%Win → 86% · Tie → 76% · Loss → 71%Division

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division53%
Bye10%
Conference11%
Super Bowl5%

6th by playoff odds.

NFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 4th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Sun 13 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%Win → 86% · Tie → 76% · Loss → 71%Division

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTTennessee14%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 22%Tie <1%PHI 77%53% → 73% – 84%DivisionMon 28 Sep · Away8:15 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 54%Tie <1%PHI 45%53% → 77% – 87%DivisionSun 4 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 55%Tie <1%LAR 45%53% → 77% – 86%Division
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%53% → 71% – 86%DivisionSun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTTennessee14%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 22%Tie <1%PHI 77%53% → 73% – 84%DivisionMon 28 Sep · Away8:15 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 54%Tie <1%PHI 45%53% → 77% – 87%DivisionSun 4 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 55%Tie <1%LAR 45%53% → 77% – 86%DivisionSun 11 Oct · Away9:30 AM EDTJacksonville70%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 64%Tie <1%PHI 36%53% → 80% – 88%DivisionSun 18 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 74%Tie <1%CAR 26%53% → 75% – 86%DivisionMon 26 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 74%Tie <1%DAL 25%53% → 71% – 88%DivisionSun 1 Nov · Away8:20 PM ESTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 32%Tie <1%PHI 67%53% → 74% – 89%DivisionSun 8 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 83%Tie <1%NYG 17%53% → 72% – 85%DivisionSun 22 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTPittsburgh57%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%PIT 39%53% → 77% – 87%DivisionThu 26 Nov · Away4:30 PM ESTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 38%Tie <1%PHI 62%53% → 75% – 90%DivisionSun 6 Dec · Away4:05 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 21%Tie <1%PHI 79%53% → 78% – 87%DivisionSun 13 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTIndianapolis33%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 75%Tie <1%IND 25%53% → 79% – 88%DivisionSat 19 Dec · Home5:00 PM ESTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 40%Tie <1%SEA 60%53% → 82% – 90%DivisionThu 24 Dec · Home8:15 PM ESTHouston76%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 47%Tie <1%HOU 53%53% → 82% – 89%DivisionSun 3 Jan · Away8:20 PM EST49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 59%Tie <1%PHI 40%65% → 88% – 93%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 26%Tie <1%PHI 73%53% → 81% – 89%Division

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye10%

Philadelphia 14+ wins

Divisional Round
1PhiladelphiaHomeWild Card Round winner4 New Orleans or 5 Seattle

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,074. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1520
2Rams1430
3Detroit1250
4New Orleans1070
5Seattle1160
649ers971
7Minnesota980
-Dallas980
-Green Bay980
Win the division, host a Wild Card game43%

Philadelphia 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
2PhiladelphiaHome7Seattle

Alongside it: 3 Atlanta v 6 New Orleans · 4 Rams v 5 Green Bay

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 8,528. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Minnesota1430
2Philadelphia1250
3Atlanta1070
4Rams980
5Green Bay1250
6New Orleans1070
7Seattle980
-Chicago890
-Detroit890
-Dallas7100
-Washington6110
Wild Card berth, on the road12%

Philadelphia 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3ChicagoHome6Philadelphia

Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 Washington · 4 Dallas v 5 49ers

  1. 50% of this route

  2. 50% of this route

    • above DallasDallas out of the postseason (93%) · Dallas 1+ game back (95%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,213. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Atlanta1610
2Seattle1520
3Chicago1340
4Dallas1250
549ers1331
6Philadelphia1061
7Washington980
-Tampa Bay980
-Carolina890
-Arizona5120
Miss the postseason35%