Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
18th by playoff odds32 clubs

Philadelphia

2nd · 2-0-2
Playoffs44%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
13

Win the next 13 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
13

Lose the next 13 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Away9:30 AM EDTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 68%Tie <1%PHI 32%Win → 50% · Tie → 47% · Loss → 31%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home4 OctRams24Philadelphia±02063% → 63%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division33%
Bye3%
Conference4%
Super Bowl2%

2nd in the table · 18th by playoff odds.

NFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 3rd. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Away9:30 AM EDTPhiladelphia44%PlayoffsJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 68%Tie <1%PHI 32%Win → 50% · Tie → 47% · Loss → 31%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 18 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCarolina47%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%Tie <1%CAR 39%44% → 26% – 45%PlayoffsMon 26 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%DAL 38%44% → 22% – 43%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away8:20 PM ESTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 46%Tie <1%PHI 54%44% → 26% – 44%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Away9:30 AM EDTJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 68%Tie <1%PHI 32%44% → 31% – 50%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCarolina47%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 60%Tie <1%CAR 39%44% → 26% – 45%PlayoffsMon 26 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%DAL 38%44% → 22% – 43%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away8:20 PM ESTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 46%Tie <1%PHI 54%44% → 26% – 44%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTGiants47%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%NYG 39%44% → 20% – 42%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home4:25 PM ESTPittsburgh46%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 56%Tie <1%PIT 43%44% → 24% – 42%PlayoffsThu 26 Nov · Away4:30 PM ESTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 53%Tie <1%PHI 47%44% → 23% – 45%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Away4:05 PM ESTArizona10%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 42%Tie <1%PHI 58%44% → 26% – 44%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTIndianapolis40%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 61%Tie <1%IND 39%44% → 27% – 45%PlayoffsSat 19 Dec · Home5:00 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 45%Tie <1%SEA 55%44% → 26% – 46%PlayoffsThu 24 Dec · Home8:15 PM ESTHouston12%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 66%Tie <1%HOU 33%44% → 23% – 41%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Away8:20 PM EST49ers80%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 70%Tie <1%PHI 29%44% → 29% – 47%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTGiants47%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 53%Tie <1%PHI 47%44% → 24% – 48%Playoffs

History

Final · Home4 OctRams24Philadelphia±02063% → 63%PlayoffsFinal · Away28 SepChicago27Philadelphia▼ -9770% → 61%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 SepTennessee20Philadelphia▲ +72461% → 68%Playoffs
All results4 played
Final · Home4 OctRams24Philadelphia±02063% → 63%PlayoffsFinal · Away28 SepChicago27Philadelphia▼ -9770% → 61%PlayoffsFinal · Away20 SepTennessee20Philadelphia▲ +72461% → 68%PlayoffsFinal · Home13 SepWashington22Philadelphia▲ +282452% → 80%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-10-06

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye3%

Philadelphia 12+ wins

Divisional Round
1PhiladelphiaHomeWild Card Round winner4 Atlanta or 5 Detroit

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 541. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1430
2Rams1250
3Chicago1250
4Atlanta890
5Detroit1160
6Minnesota1160
749ers1070
-Dallas890
-Seattle890
Win the division, host a Wild Card game30%

Philadelphia 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
3PhiladelphiaHome6Green Bay

Alongside it: 2 49ers v 7 Tampa Bay · 4 Carolina v 5 Rams

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 5,979. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Chicago1430
249ers1241
3Philadelphia1160
4Carolina1160
5Rams1241
6Green Bay1160
7Tampa Bay1070
-Arizona971
-Washington980
-Giants890
-Dallas791
Wild Card berth, on the road11%

Philadelphia 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
4ChicagoHome5Philadelphia

Alongside it: 2 Giants v 7 Carolina · 3 New Orleans v 6 Minnesota

  1. 57% of this route

  2. 22% of this route

  3. 21% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,314. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Seattle1430
2Giants1250
3New Orleans1250
4Chicago1160
5Philadelphia1061
6Minnesota1070
7Carolina1070
-49ers1070
-Atlanta980
-Green Bay791
-Detroit7100
Miss the postseason56%

Philadelphia under 10.5 wins

  1. 65% of this route

  2. 20% of this route

  3. 16% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 7,220. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1520
2Chicago1430
3Atlanta1070
4Dallas1070
5Detroit1250
6Rams1070
7Giants1070
-Minnesota980
-Carolina890
-Philadelphia6101