Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
26th by playoff odds32 clubs

Washington

26th by playoff odds · 0-0-0
Playoffs25%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
17

Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Elimination number
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
17

Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.

Next upSun 13 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%Win → 27% · Tie → 17% · Loss → 15%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division15%
Bye2%
Conference1%
Super Bowl<1%

26th by playoff odds.

NFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 16th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.

Next up

Sun 13 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%Win → 27% · Tie → 17% · Loss → 15%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 20 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 63%Tie <1%WAS 37%25% → 12% – 26%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 19%Tie <1%SEA 80%25% → 14% – 26%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home9:30 AM EDTIndianapolis33%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 52%Tie <1%IND 48%25% → 10% – 21%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 78%Tie <1%WAS 21%25% → 15% – 27%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 63%Tie <1%WAS 37%25% → 12% – 26%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 19%Tie <1%SEA 80%25% → 14% – 26%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Home9:30 AM EDTIndianapolis33%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 52%Tie <1%IND 48%25% → 10% – 21%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 64%Tie <1%NYG 36%25% → 9% – 20%PlayoffsMon 19 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDT49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultSF 80%Tie <1%WAS 20%25% → 12% – 25%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home8:20 PM ESTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 32%Tie <1%PHI 67%25% → 9% – 23%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 31%Tie <1%LAR 69%25% → 11% – 23%PlayoffsThu 12 Nov · Away8:15 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 50%Tie <1%WAS 50%25% → 9% – 20%PlayoffsMon 23 Nov · Home8:15 PM ESTCincinnati32%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 55%Tie <1%CIN 44%25% → 9% – 20%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 43%Tie <1%WAS 57%25% → 9% – 19%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTTennessee14%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 44%Tie <1%WAS 56%25% → 9% – 19%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTHouston76%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 24%Tie <1%HOU 75%25% → 11% – 23%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 44%Tie <1%ATL 56%25% → 9% – 19%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 77%Tie <1%WAS 23%25% → 9% – 22%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTJacksonville70%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 83%Tie <1%WAS 17%25% → 9% – 21%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 51%Tie <1%DAL 48%25% → 7% – 15%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-08-13

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye2%

Washington 13+ wins

Divisional Round
1WashingtonHomeWild Card Round winner4 Seattle or 5 Carolina

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 324. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Washington1430
2Minnesota1250
3Atlanta1250
4Seattle1160
5Carolina1160
6Chicago1070
7Green Bay980
-Rams980
-Philadelphia980
Win the division, host a Wild Card game14%

Washington 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
4WashingtonHome549ers

Alongside it: 2 Seattle v 7 Atlanta · 3 New Orleans v 6 Chicago

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,724. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Green Bay1430
2Seattle1340
3New Orleans1250
4Washington1160
549ers1250
6Chicago1070
7Atlanta980
-Rams881
-Philadelphia791
-Dallas6101
Wild Card berth, on the road10%

Washington 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
349ersHome6Washington

Alongside it: 2 Detroit v 7 Seattle · 4 Atlanta v 5 Chicago

  1. 61% of this route

  2. 26% of this route

  3. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,230. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Philadelphia1520
2Detroit1430
349ers1340
4Atlanta890
5Chicago1250
6Washington1160
7Seattle1160
-Rams1070
-Carolina7100
-Green Bay7100
-Giants5120
Miss the postseason75%