MLB · 2026

12th by playoff odds30 clubs

Houston

1st · 80-81

Playoffs77%

Magic number

The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.

Could clinch a playoff place as soon as Sun 27 Sep.

Elimination number

The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.

Could be eliminated as soon as Sun 27 Sep.

Next upSun 27 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left3:05 PM EDTHouston77%PlayoffsAthleticsOutPlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%HOU 56%Win → >99% · Loss → 48%Playoffs

Last resultFinal · Away27 SepAthletics0Houston9

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division77%

ByeOut

Pennant6%

World Series2%

1st in the table · 12th by playoff odds.

AL West finish

1st2nd3rd4th5th

1st · division winner

Most likely 1st. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

American League finish

1st6th · playoff line15th

Most likely 3rd. The top 6 in the league make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sun 27 Sep · Away · Their biggest game left3:05 PM EDTHouston77%PlayoffsAthleticsOutPlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%HOU 56%Win → >99% · Loss → 48%Playoffs

History

Final · Away27 SepAthletics0Houston9 Final · Away26 SepAthletics2Houston±01356% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away25 SepAthletics6Houston±0586% → 86%Playoffs

All results162 played

Final · Away27 SepAthletics0Houston9 Final · Away26 SepAthletics2Houston±01356% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away25 SepAthletics6Houston±0586% → 86%Playoffs Final · Away24 SepAthletics5Houston±0757% → 57%Playoffs Final · Away23 SepSeattle6Houston▲ +2567% → 69%Playoffs Final · Away22 SepSeattle0Houston▲ +27740% → 67%Playoffs Final · Home20 SepAtlanta4Houston▼ -3245% → 42%Playoffs Final · Home19 SepAtlanta6Houston▼ -19365% → 46%Playoffs Final · Home18 SepAtlanta6Houston▼ -13280% → 67%Playoffs Final · Home17 SepKansas City2Houston▲ +14667% → 81%Playoffs Final · Home16 SepKansas City5Houston▼ -16283% → 67%Playoffs Final · Home15 SepKansas City2Houston±0481% → 81%Playoffs Final · Away13 SepTampa Bay14Houston±0486% → 86%Playoffs Final · Away12 SepTampa Bay3Houston±0293% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away11 SepTampa Bay3Houston▲ +1192% → 93%Playoffs Final · Away10 SepPhiladelphia1Houston▲ +5286% → 91%Playoffs Final · Away9 SepPhiladelphia11Houston▼ -1786% → 85%Playoffs Final · Away8 SepPhiladelphia5Houston▲ +8680% → 88%Playoffs Final · Home6 SepArizona3Houston±0289% → 89%Playoffs Final · Home5 SepArizona4Houston▼ -2389% → 87%Playoffs Final · Home4 SepArizona1Houston±0379% → 79%Playoffs Final · Home3 SepWhite Sox2Houston±0672% → 72%Playoffs Final · Home2 SepWhite Sox0Houston±0265% → 65%Playoffs Final · Home1 SepWhite Sox5Houston▲ +2174% → 76%Playoffs Final · Home31 AugWhite Sox3Houston▼ -1671% → 70%Playoffs Final · Away30 AugMets3Houston±0667% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away29 AugMets6Houston±0267% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away28 AugMets1Houston▲ +11356% → 67%Playoffs Final · Away27 AugYankees1Houston▲ +10546% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away26 AugYankees9Houston±0351% → 51%Playoffs Final · Away25 AugYankees7Houston▲ +8942% → 50%Playoffs Final · Home23 AugAthletics7Houston±0656% → 56%Playoffs Final · Home22 AugAthletics4Houston▼ -10366% → 56%Playoffs Final · Home21 AugAthletics0Houston±0465% → 65%Playoffs Final · Home20 AugAngels18Houston±0373% → 73%Playoffs Final · Home19 AugAngels2Houston±0366% → 66%Playoffs Final · Home18 AugAngels3Houston±0176% → 76%Playoffs Final · Home16 AugSeattle3Houston±0283% → 83%Playoffs Final · Home15 AugSeattle10Houston±0588% → 88%Playoffs Final · Home14 AugSeattle7Houston▲ +61083% → 89%Playoffs Final · Away12 AugSan Francisco1Houston±0273% → 73%Playoffs Final · Away11 AugSan Francisco4Houston▼ -5179% → 74%Playoffs Final · Away10 AugSan Francisco3Houston±0671% → 71%Playoffs Final · Away9 AugSan Diego7Houston±0277% → 77%Playoffs Final · Away8 AugSan Diego3Houston▲ +1278% → 79%Playoffs Final · Away7 AugSan Diego3Houston▼ -1673% → 72%Playoffs Final · Home5 AugToronto5Houston±0477% → 77%Playoffs Final · Home4 AugToronto2Houston±0771% → 71%Playoffs Final · Home3 AugToronto3Houston±0176% → 76%Playoffs Final · Home2 AugTexas3Houston▼ -1772% → 71%Playoffs Final · Home1 AugTexas4Houston▲ +2563% → 65%Playoffs Final · Home31 JulTexas2Houston▲ +11155% → 56%Playoffs Final · Away29 JulAngels4Houston▲ +2745% → 47%Playoffs Final · Away28 JulAngels2Houston▲ +6343% → 49%Playoffs Final · Away27 JulAngels4Houston▲ +1638% → 39%Playoffs Final · Away26 JulWhite Sox12Houston▲ +6339% → 45%Playoffs Final · Away25 JulWhite Sox1Houston▲ +1438% → 39%Playoffs Final · Away24 JulWhite Sox5Houston±0931% → 31%Playoffs Final · Home22 JulMiami2Houston▲ +6523% → 29%Playoffs Final · Home21 JulMiami3Houston▲ +1517% → 18%Playoffs Final · Home20 JulMiami5Houston8 Final · Home19 JulBaltimore5Houston2 Final · Home18 JulBaltimore4Houston2 Final · Home17 JulBaltimore3Houston2 Final · Away12 JulTexas6Houston5 Final · Away11 JulTexas3Houston9 Final · Away10 JulTexas7Houston3 Final · Away8 JulWashington8Houston2 Final · Away7 JulWashington3Houston6 Final · Away6 JulWashington12Houston11 Final · Home5 JulTampa Bay0Houston2 Final · Home4 JulTampa Bay8Houston10 Final · Home3 JulTampa Bay3Houston1 Final · Home1 JulMinnesota8Houston3 Final · Home30 JunMinnesota4Houston6 Final · Home29 JunMinnesota5Houston4 Final · Away28 JunDetroit5Houston7 Final · Away27 JunDetroit6Houston8 Final · Away26 JunDetroit8Houston0 Final · Away25 JunDetroit1Houston2 Final · Away24 JunToronto1Houston3 Final · Away23 JunToronto7Houston9 Final · Away22 JunToronto4Houston2 Final · Home21 JunCleveland1Houston2 Final · Home20 JunCleveland8Houston1 Final · Home19 JunCleveland3Houston9 Final · Home17 JunDetroit2Houston4 Final · Home16 JunDetroit2Houston4 Final · Home15 JunDetroit9Houston3 Final · Away14 JunKansas City4Houston0 Final · Away13 JunKansas City7Houston8 Final · Away12 JunKansas City8Houston10 Final · Away10 JunAngels3Houston2 Final · Away9 JunAngels10Houston1 Final · Away8 JunAngels4Houston5 Final · Home7 JunAthletics5Houston0 Final · Home6 JunAthletics2Houston13 Final · Home5 JunAthletics1Houston5 Final · Home4 JunPittsburgh5Houston1 Final · Home3 JunPittsburgh9Houston11 Final · Home2 JunPittsburgh10Houston6 Final · Home31 MayMilwaukee2Houston0 Final · Home30 MayMilwaukee2Houston9 Final · Home29 MayMilwaukee5Houston4 Final · Away28 MayTexas1Houston5 Final · Away27 MayTexas3Houston4 Final · Away26 MayTexas10Houston7 Final · Away25 MayTexas0Houston9 Final · Away24 MayCubs5Houston8 Final · Away23 MayCubs0Houston3 Final · Away22 MayCubs2Houston4 Final · Away20 MayMinnesota4Houston1 Final · Away19 MayMinnesota1Houston2 Final · Away18 MayMinnesota6Houston3 Final · Home17 MayTexas8Houston0 Final · Home16 MayTexas1Houston4 Final · Home15 MayTexas0Houston2 Final · Home14 MaySeattle8Houston3 Final · Home13 MaySeattle3Houston4 Final · Home12 MaySeattle10Houston2 Final · Home11 MaySeattle3Houston1 Final · Away10 MayCincinnati5Houston0 Final · Away9 MayCincinnati3Houston1 Final · Away8 MayCincinnati0Houston10 Final · Home6 MayDodgers12Houston2 Final · Home5 MayDodgers1Houston2 Final · Home4 MayDodgers8Houston3 Final · Away3 MayBoston1Houston3 Final · Away2 MayBoston3Houston6 Final · Away1 MayBoston3Houston1 Final · Away30 AprBaltimore5Houston11 Final · Away30 AprBaltimore10Houston3 Final · Away28 AprBaltimore5Houston3 Final · Home26 AprYankees4Houston7 Final · Home25 AprYankees8Houston3 Final · Home24 AprYankees12Houston4 Final · Away22 AprCleveland0Houston2 Final · Away21 AprCleveland8Houston5 Final · Away20 AprCleveland2Houston9 Final · Home19 AprSt. Louis7Houston5 Final · Home18 AprSt. Louis7Houston5 Final · Home17 AprSt. Louis9Houston4 Final · Home16 AprColorado3Houston2 Final · Home15 AprColorado1Houston3 Final · Home14 AprColorado6Houston7 Final · Away13 AprSeattle6Houston2 Final · Away12 AprSeattle6Houston1 Final · Away11 AprSeattle8Houston7 Final · Away10 AprSeattle9Houston6 Final · Away8 AprColorado9Houston1 Final · Away7 AprColorado5Houston1 Final · Away6 AprColorado9Houston7 Final · Away5 AprAthletics12Houston10 Final · Away4 AprAthletics0Houston11 Final · Away3 AprAthletics11Houston4 Final · Home1 AprBoston4Houston6 Final · Home31 MarBoston2Houston9 Final · Home30 MarBoston1Houston8 Final · Home29 MarAngels7Houston9 Final · Home28 MarAngels9Houston11 Final · Home27 MarAngels6Houston2 Final · Home26 MarAngels3Houston0

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round byeNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Win the division, host the Wild Card Series77%

Houston 80+ wins

Wild Card Series

3HoustonHome6White Sox

Alongside it: 4 Yankees v 5 Boston

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 15,456. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	98	64
2	Cleveland	86	76
3	Houston	81	81
4	Yankees	94	68
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	84	78
-	Texas	80	82
-	Baltimore	79	83

Wild Card berth, host the Wild Card SeriesNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Wild Card berth, on the roadNo sampled route

No sampled route in this forecast: 0 of 20,000 simulations reached it. That is evidence about the sampled forecast, not a proof of impossibility.

Miss the postseason23%

Houston under 81 wins

How the table finishedthe middle season

The American League table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,544. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
Seed	Club	W	L
1	Tampa Bay	98	64
2	Cleveland	86	76
3	Texas	81	81
4	Yankees	94	68
5	Boston	88	74
6	White Sox	83	79
-	Houston	80	82
-	Baltimore	79	83