Magic Number.
MLS · 2026
13th by playoff odds30 clubs

NY City

7th · 7-5-8 · 26 pts
Playoffs82%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
13

Win the next 13 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Away4:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%Win → 88% · Draw → 81% · Loss → 77%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Away19 AugCincinnati2NY City▼ -3185% → 82%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup1%

7th in the table · 13th by playoff odds.

Eastern Conference finish
1st9th · playoff line15th

Most likely 7th. The top 9 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Away4:30 PM EDTNY City82%PlayoffsNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%Win → 88% · Draw → 81% · Loss → 77%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTToronto14%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 36%Draw 27%NYC 37%82% → 78% – 90%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 33%Draw 27%NSH 40%82% → 78% – 90%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 50%Draw 25%NE 25%82% → 76% – 90%Playoffs
Full schedule14 to play
Sunday · Away4:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 40%Draw 27%NYC 33%82% → 77% – 88%PlayoffsSat 29 Aug · Away7:30 PM EDTToronto14%PlayoffsMatch resultTOR 36%Draw 27%NYC 37%82% → 78% – 90%PlayoffsFri 4 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNashville>99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 33%Draw 27%NSH 40%82% → 78% – 90%PlayoffsWed 9 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNew England96%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 50%Draw 25%NE 25%82% → 76% – 90%PlayoffsSat 12 Sep · Away9:30 PM EDTSalt Lake85%PlayoffsMatch resultRSL 45%Draw 26%NYC 29%82% → 81% – 92%PlayoffsFri 18 Sep · Home7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls52%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 52%Draw 24%RBNY 24%82% → 77% – 92%PlayoffsSat 26 Sep · Away7:30 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 33%Draw 27%NYC 40%82% → 79% – 91%PlayoffsSat 10 Oct · Away2:30 PM EDTChicago>99%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 48%Draw 25%NYC 27%82% → 82% – 93%PlayoffsWed 14 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTMiami>99%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 60%Draw 22%NYC 18%82% → 83% – 94%PlayoffsSat 24 Oct · Away7:30 PM EDTOrlando60%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 44%Draw 26%NYC 30%82% → 80% – 93%PlayoffsWed 28 Oct · Home7:30 PM EDTAtlanta6%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 58%Draw 23%ATL 19%82% → 75% – 90%PlayoffsSat 31 Oct · Home2:00 PM EDTMontreal8%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 56%Draw 23%MTL 21%82% → 76% – 91%PlayoffsWed 4 Nov · Home7:30 PM ESTLAFC99%PlayoffsMatch resultNYC 37%Draw 27%LAFC 36%82% → 80% – 93%PlayoffsSat 7 Nov · Away4:00 PM ESTDC27%PlayoffsMatch resultDC 35%Draw 27%NYC 38%82% → 79% – 94%Playoffs

History

Final · Away19 AugCincinnati2NY City▼ -3185% → 82%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugPhiladelphia3NY City▼ -8293% → 85%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulToronto1NY City▼ -3195% → 92%Playoffs
All results20 played
Final · Away19 AugCincinnati2NY City▼ -3185% → 82%PlayoffsFinal · Home16 AugPhiladelphia3NY City▼ -8293% → 85%PlayoffsFinal · Home31 JulToronto1NY City▼ -3195% → 92%PlayoffsFinal · Home25 JulChicago1NY City▼ -2393% → 91%PlayoffsFinal · Away22 JulColumbus1NY City▲ +11282% → 93%PlayoffsFinal · Away23 MayNashville2NY City1Final · Away16 MayNY Red Bulls1NY City1Final · Away13 MayCharlotte0NY City1Final · Home10 MayColumbus0NY City3Final · Home3 MayDC2NY City0Final · Away25 AprMontreal1NY City0Final · Home22 AprCincinnati4NY City4Final · Home18 AprCharlotte2NY City1Final · Away11 AprVancouver2NY City0Final · Home4 AprSt. Louis1NY City1Final · Home22 MarMiami3NY City2Final · Home14 MarColorado1NY City3Final · Home7 MarOrlando0NY City5Final · Away1 MarPhiladelphia1NY City2Final · Away22 FebLA Galaxy1NY City1

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-02-232026-08-20

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Reach Round One directly, at home10%

NY City 50+ points

Round One
4NY CityHome5Charlotte

Alongside it: 1 Miami v Wild Card winner · 2 Nashville v 7 New England · 3 Chicago v 6 Cincinnati

  1. 83% of this route

  2. 17% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,584. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Miami73
2Nashville69
3Chicago61
4NY City53
5Charlotte49
6Cincinnati49
7New England48
8NY Red Bulls48
9Orlando45
-DC41
-Philadelphia38
Reach Round One directly, on the road46%

NY City 45+ points

Round One
3ChicagoHome6NY City

Alongside it: 1 Miami v Wild Card winner · 2 Nashville v 7 Philadelphia · 4 Cincinnati v 5 New England

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 9,198. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Miami73
2Nashville66
3Chicago52
4Cincinnati52
5New England50
6NY City48
7Philadelphia47
8Charlotte43
9Orlando42
-NY Red Bulls41
-Columbus38
Host the Wild Card game15%
Play the Wild Card game away11%

NY City 40+ points

Wild Card
8DCHome9NY City

  1. 63% of this route

  2. 37% of this route

    • above OrlandoOrlando out of the postseason (>99%) · Orlando 1+ point back (93%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,456. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville68
2Miami57
3Chicago55
4New England50
5Charlotte49
6Cincinnati49
7Orlando47
8DC44
9NY City43
-Columbus41
-NY Red Bulls39
Miss the postseason18%

NY City under 44 points

  1. 70% of this route

  2. 17% of this route

  3. 13% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The Eastern Conference table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,481. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubPts
1Nashville68
2Miami68
3Chicago59
4Cincinnati54
5New England49
6DC46
7NY Red Bulls44
8Orlando44
9Montreal41
-Charlotte40
-NY City39