Magic Number.
NFL · 2026
10th by playoff odds32 clubs

Chicago

2nd · 3-0-1
Playoffs59%
Magic number
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
13

Win the next 13 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.

Next upSunday · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago59%PlayoffsGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%Win → 92% · Tie → 74% · Loss → 71%Playoffs
Last resultFinal · Home4 OctJets12Chicago±02356% → 56%Playoffs

Chances

The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.

Division22%
Bye8%
Conference9%
Super Bowl5%

2nd in the table · 10th by playoff odds.

NFC North finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner

Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.

NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th

Most likely 5th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.

Schedule

The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.

Next up

Sunday · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago59%PlayoffsGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%Win → 92% · Tie → 74% · Loss → 71%Playoffs

Upcoming

Sun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta51%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Tie <1%CHI 50%59% → 71% – 88%PlayoffsThu 22 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 56%Tie <1%NE 44%59% → 69% – 85%PlayoffsMon 2 Nov · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 62%Tie <1%CHI 37%59% → 69% – 86%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Away1:00 PM EDTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 49%Tie <1%CHI 50%59% → 71% – 92%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTAtlanta51%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 50%Tie <1%CHI 50%59% → 71% – 88%PlayoffsThu 22 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTNew England64%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 56%Tie <1%NE 44%59% → 69% – 85%PlayoffsMon 2 Nov · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle66%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 62%Tie <1%CHI 37%59% → 69% – 86%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Home8:20 PM ESTTampa Bay9%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 78%Tie <1%TB 21%59% → 60% – 78%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans21%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 74%Tie <1%NO 26%59% → 61% – 79%PlayoffsThu 26 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 50%Tie <1%CHI 50%59% → 62% – 82%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 53%Tie <1%JAX 47%59% → 63% – 80%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTMiami9%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 35%Tie <1%CHI 64%59% → 59% – 78%PlayoffsSat 19 Dec · Away8:20 PM ESTBuffalo70%PlayoffsMatch resultBUF 59%Tie <1%CHI 41%59% → 65% – 82%PlayoffsFri 25 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTGreen Bay38%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 64%Tie <1%GB 36%59% → 59% – 80%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home4:25 PM ESTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 64%Tie <1%DET 36%59% → 60% – 83%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTMinnesota83%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 63%Tie <1%CHI 37%22% → 12% – 40%Division

History

Final · Home4 OctJets12Chicago±02356% → 56%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 SepPhiladelphia7Chicago▲ +112744% → 55%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 SepMinnesota9Chicago▼ -15356% → 41%Playoffs
All results4 played
Final · Home4 OctJets12Chicago±02356% → 56%PlayoffsFinal · Home28 SepPhiladelphia7Chicago▲ +112744% → 55%PlayoffsFinal · Home20 SepMinnesota9Chicago▼ -15356% → 41%PlayoffsFinal · Away13 SepCarolina37Chicago▲ +155945% → 60%Playoffs

Season so far

Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.

050100 2026-08-032026-10-06

Paths

Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.

Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it

Win the division with a first-round bye8%

Chicago 13+ wins

Divisional Round
1ChicagoHomeWild Card Round winner4 Atlanta or 5 Green Bay

Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 1,626. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Chicago1430
2Giants1160
349ers1160
4Atlanta1070
5Green Bay1250
6Minnesota1160
7Seattle1070
-Dallas1070
-Carolina890
Win the division, host a Wild Card game14%

Chicago 11+ wins

Wild Card Round
2ChicagoHome7Minnesota

Alongside it: 3 Dallas v 6 Philadelphia · 4 New Orleans v 5 Seattle

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 2,733. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
149ers1610
2Chicago1250
3Dallas1160
4New Orleans1070
5Seattle1520
6Philadelphia1070
7Minnesota1070
-Green Bay1070
-Detroit890
Wild Card berth, on the road38%

Chicago 9+ wins

Wild Card Round
4New OrleansHome5Chicago

Alongside it: 2 Dallas v 7 Giants · 3 49ers v 6 Rams

  1. 60% of this route

  2. 20% of this route

  3. 20% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,520. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Minnesota1601
2Dallas1430
349ers1070
4New Orleans1070
5Chicago1151
6Rams1070
7Giants971
-Atlanta980
-Philadelphia980
-Detroit7100
-Green Bay7100
Miss the postseason41%

Chicago under 10.5 wins

  1. 57% of this route

  2. 23% of this route

  3. 20% of this route

How the table finishedthe middle season
The NFC table in the season closest to the middle of this route, out of 4,583. One season, not an average; the rule marks the last club that reached the bracket.
SeedClubWLT
1Minnesota1520
2Giants1430
3Seattle1340
4Atlanta1250
5Detroit1070
6Green Bay1070
7Dallas1070
-Rams980
-Carolina890
-Chicago7100