Green Bay 13+ wins
Divisional Round
1Green BayHomeWild Card Round winner4 Atlanta or 5 Detroit
Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner
NFL · 2026
17th by playoff odds32 clubs
Green Bay
17th by playoff odds · 0-0-0Green Bay Packers saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs43%
Magic number
17
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
Elimination number
17
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
17th by playoff odds.
NFC North finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 6th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.
Upcoming
Sun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 29%Tie <1%GB 71%43% → 24% – 44%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Home8:15 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 61%Tie <1%ATL 38%43% → 24% – 44%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 45%Tie <1%GB 55%43% → 24% – 43%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away4:25 PM EDTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 62%Tie <1%GB 38%43% → 32% – 56%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTJets13%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 29%Tie <1%GB 71%43% → 24% – 44%PlayoffsThu 24 Sep · Home8:15 PM EDTAtlanta48%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 61%Tie <1%ATL 38%43% → 24% – 44%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultTB 45%Tie <1%GB 55%43% → 24% – 43%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Home4:25 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 52%Tie <1%CHI 48%43% → 25% – 46%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Home8:20 PM EDTDallas34%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 68%Tie <1%DAL 32%43% → 23% – 41%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Away4:25 PM EDTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 60%Tie <1%GB 40%43% → 27% – 48%PlayoffsThu 29 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTCarolina32%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 68%Tie <1%CAR 32%43% → 22% – 40%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away4:25 PM ESTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 71%Tie <1%GB 29%43% → 29% – 47%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 52%Tie <1%MIN 48%43% → 23% – 43%PlayoffsWed 25 Nov · Away8:00 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 66%Tie <1%GB 33%43% → 26% – 47%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTNew Orleans36%PlayoffsMatch resultNO 43%Tie <1%GB 57%43% → 22% – 40%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home8:20 PM ESTBuffalo63%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 45%Tie <1%BUF 54%43% → 25% – 41%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 68%Tie <1%MIA 32%43% → 22% – 37%PlayoffsFri 25 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 62%Tie <1%GB 38%43% → 26% – 46%PlayoffsMon 4 Jan · Home8:15 PM ESTHouston76%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 39%Tie <1%HOU 60%43% → 29% – 46%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 54%Tie <1%DET 46%43% → 25% – 44%Playoffs
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye5%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game15%
Green Bay 10+ wins
Wild Card Round
3Green BayHome6Atlanta
Alongside it: 2 Giants v 7 Washington · 4 Tampa Bay v 5 49ers
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 3 | Green Bay | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 5 | 49ers | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | Washington | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | New Orleans | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Detroit | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| - | Minnesota | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Wild Card berth, on the road23%
Green Bay 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
349ersHome6Green Bay
Alongside it: 2 Philadelphia v 7 Atlanta · 4 Carolina v 5 Chicago
46% of this route
- above DallasDallas out of the postseason (92%) · Dallas 1+ game back (95%)
- above RamsRams 1+ game back (90%)
30% of this route
- above DallasDallas out of the postseason (95%) · Dallas 1+ game back (95%)
- below RamsRams under 15.5 wins (92%)
23% of this route
- below DallasDallas under 14.5 wins (93%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
Miss the postseason57%
Green Bay under 10.5 wins
72% of this route
- below DetroitDetroit under 15 wins (90%)
- below MinnesotaMinnesota under 15 wins (90%)
14% of this route
- above DetroitDetroit 1+ game back (97%)
13% of this route
- below DetroitDetroit under 15.5 wins (94%)
- above MinnesotaMinnesota 1+ game back (97%)