MLB · 2026

updated 10 days ago · as of 27 Sep 2026 2415 played · 15 to play

MLB

2026

14 results played since this forecast. This page updates automatically.

The World Series race
The chance of winning the World Series, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.

Who ends the season with it, before the full table below.

American40%National60%

American LeagueTampa BayYou follow this club.16%ClevelandYou follow this club.9%YankeesYou follow this club.8%BostonYou follow this club.4%HoustonYou follow this club.2%White SoxYou follow this club.1%

National LeagueMilwaukeeYou follow this club.27%DodgersYou follow this club.17%San DiegoYou follow this club.6%AtlantaYou follow this club.4%PhiladelphiaYou follow this club.3%CubsYou follow this club.2%

The other 18 clubs share 1% of the World Series between them.

Realistic chance12 of 30 clubs

Every club with at least 1% of the World Series.

Biggest gameSun 27 Sep 3:05 PM EDT

Athletics v Houston

The race

Chances by division, league, or all clubs. Each division winner advances. The rest chase 3 league-wide wild cards.

Division

Every division carries 5 clubs.

AL Central

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1ClevelandPlayoffsClinched16185-76.528-

2White SoxPlayoffs>99%16183-78.5152

3MinnesotaPlayoffsOut16176-85.4729

4DetroitPlayoffsOut16176-85.4729

5Kansas CityPlayoffsOut16168-93.42217

AL East

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1Tampa BayPlayoffsClinched16198-63.609-

2YankeesPlayoffsClinched16193-68.5785

3BostonPlayoffsClinched16187-74.54011

4BaltimorePlayoffs<1%16179-82.49119

5TorontoPlayoffsOut16178-83.48420

AL West

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1HoustonPlayoffs77%16180-81.497-

2TexasPlayoffs23%16180-81.497-

3SeattlePlayoffsOut16175-86.4665

4AthleticsPlayoffsOut16164-97.39816

5AngelsPlayoffsOut16162-99.38518

NL Central

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1MilwaukeePlayoffsClinched161102-59.633-

2CubsPlayoffs>99%16188-73.54714

3PittsburghPlayoffsOut16181-80.50321

4St. LouisPlayoffsOut16177-84.47825

5CincinnatiPlayoffsOut16175-86.46627

NL East

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1AtlantaPlayoffsClinched16194-67.584-

2PhiladelphiaPlayoffs80%16187-74.5407

3MiamiPlayoffsOut16179-82.49115

4WashingtonPlayoffsOut16176-85.47218

5MetsPlayoffsOut16174-87.46020

NL West

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1DodgersPlayoffsClinched16199-62.615-

2San DiegoPlayoffsClinched16190-71.5599

3ArizonaPlayoffs20%16186-75.53413

4San FranciscoPlayoffsOut16165-96.40434

5ColoradoPlayoffsOut16158-103.36041

League

American League · Division leaders3 clubs

PlayoffsPW-LPCTWCGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1Tampa BayPlayoffsClinched16198-63.609

2ClevelandPlayoffsClinched16185-76.528

3HoustonPlayoffs77%16180-81.497

American League · Wild Card12 clubs

PlayoffsPW-LPCTWCGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1YankeesPlayoffsClinched16193-68.578+10

2BostonPlayoffsClinched16187-74.540+4

3White SoxPlayoffs>99%16183-78.515-

Wild-card cutoff

4TexasPlayoffs23%16180-81.4973

5BaltimorePlayoffs<1%16179-82.4914

6TorontoPlayoffsOut16178-83.4845

7MinnesotaPlayoffsOut16176-85.4727

8DetroitPlayoffsOut16176-85.4727

9SeattlePlayoffsOut16175-86.4668

10Kansas CityPlayoffsOut16168-93.42215

11AthleticsPlayoffsOut16164-97.39819

12AngelsPlayoffsOut16162-99.38521

National League · Division leaders3 clubs

PlayoffsPW-LPCTWCGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1MilwaukeePlayoffsClinched161102-59.633

2DodgersPlayoffsClinched16199-62.615

3AtlantaPlayoffsClinched16194-67.584

National League · Wild Card12 clubs

PlayoffsPW-LPCTWCGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1San DiegoPlayoffsClinched16190-71.559+3

2CubsPlayoffs>99%16188-73.547+1

3PhiladelphiaPlayoffs80%16187-74.540-

Wild-card cutoff

4ArizonaPlayoffs20%16186-75.5341

5PittsburghPlayoffsOut16181-80.5036

6MiamiPlayoffsOut16179-82.4918

7St. LouisPlayoffsOut16177-84.47810

8WashingtonPlayoffsOut16176-85.47211

9CincinnatiPlayoffsOut16175-86.46612

10MetsPlayoffsOut16174-87.46013

11San FranciscoPlayoffsOut16165-96.40422

12ColoradoPlayoffsOut16158-103.36029

All clubs

PlayoffsPW-LPCTGBDivisionByePennantWorld Series

1MilwaukeePlayoffsClinched161102-59.633-

2DodgersPlayoffsClinched16199-62.6153

3Tampa BayPlayoffsClinched16198-63.6094

4AtlantaPlayoffsClinched16194-67.5848

5YankeesPlayoffsClinched16193-68.5789

6San DiegoPlayoffsClinched16190-71.55912

7CubsPlayoffs>99%16188-73.54714

8BostonPlayoffsClinched16187-74.54015

9PhiladelphiaPlayoffs80%16187-74.54015

10ArizonaPlayoffs20%16186-75.53416

11ClevelandPlayoffsClinched16185-76.52817

12White SoxPlayoffs>99%16183-78.51519

13PittsburghPlayoffsOut16181-80.50321

14HoustonPlayoffs77%16180-81.49722

15TexasPlayoffs23%16180-81.49722

16BaltimorePlayoffs<1%16179-82.49123

17MiamiPlayoffsOut16179-82.49123

18TorontoPlayoffsOut16178-83.48424

19St. LouisPlayoffsOut16177-84.47825

20DetroitPlayoffsOut16176-85.47226

21WashingtonPlayoffsOut16176-85.47226

22MinnesotaPlayoffsOut16176-85.47226

23CincinnatiPlayoffsOut16175-86.46627

24SeattlePlayoffsOut16175-86.46627

25MetsPlayoffsOut16174-87.46028

26Kansas CityPlayoffsOut16168-93.42234

27San FranciscoPlayoffsOut16165-96.40437

28AthleticsPlayoffsOut16164-97.39838

29AngelsPlayoffsOut16162-99.38540

30ColoradoPlayoffsOut16158-103.36044

Games that matter

The next 7 days. Each club's chance of making the playoffs now, and what each result would do to it.

Sun 27 Sep3:05 PM EDTAthleticsOutPlayoffsHouston77% → 48% – 100%PlayoffsMatch resultATH 44%HOU 56%4th and 1st in the AL West.Sun 27 Sep3:10 PM EDTSan DiegoClinchedPlayoffsArizona20% → 0% – 51%PlayoffsMatch resultSD 57%ARI 43%2nd and 3rd in the NL West.Sun 27 Sep2:30 PM EDTPhiladelphia80% → 55% – 100%PlayoffsTampa BayClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultPHI 51%TB 49%2nd in the NL East, 1st in the AL East.Sun 27 Sep3:10 PM EDTMinnesotaOutPlayoffsTexas23% → 0% – 41%PlayoffsMatch resultMIN 50%TEX 50%3rd in the AL Central, 2nd in the AL West.

More games that matter4 more

Sun 27 Sep1:05 PM EDTWashingtonOutPlayoffsMetsOutPlayoffsMatch resultWSH 50%NYM 50%4th and 5th in the NL East.Sun 27 Sep1:05 PM EDTYankeesClinchedPlayoffsBaltimore<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsMatch resultNYY 61%BAL 39%2nd and 4th in the AL East.Sun 27 Sep3:05 PM EDTSan FranciscoOutPlayoffsDodgersClinchedPlayoffsMatch resultSF 36%LAD 64%4th and 1st in the NL West.Sun 27 Sep3:05 PM EDTBostonClinchedPlayoffsCubs>99% → 100% – 100%PlayoffsMatch resultBOS 55%CHC 45%3rd in the AL East, 2nd in the NL Central.

How the race got here

The season behind today's table, told two ways.

The trajectory

Playoff odds at every published forecast. The six biggest movers are drawn; tap any club to add it.

Turning points

The results that changed a race. Each names the race it moved, and links to its game.

15 SEPCleveland beat White Sox 7-6Playoffs: 50% → 74%.19 SEPHouston lose 6-3 to AtlantaPlayoffs: 65% → 33%.26 SEPTexas win 6-2 at MinnesotaPlayoffs: 27% → 87%.26 SEPWhite Sox lose 9-6 to ColoradoDivision: 42% → 12%.26 SEPArizona lose 10-7 at San DiegoPlayoffs: 25% → 0%.

The published forecast record begins 21 Jul 2026.

MLB

The World Series race?The chance of winning the World Series, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.

The race

Division

AL Central

AL East

AL West

NL Central

NL East

NL West

League

American League · Division leaders3 clubs

American League · Wild Card12 clubs

National League · Division leaders3 clubs

National League · Wild Card12 clubs

All clubs

Games that matter

How the race got here

The trajectory

Turning points

The World Series race
The chance of winning the World Series, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.