Dallas 13+ wins
Divisional Round
1DallasHomeWild Card Round winner4 Carolina or 5 Minnesota
Alongside it: Wild Card Round winner v Wild Card Round winner
NFL · 2026
19th by playoff odds32 clubs
Dallas
19th by playoff odds · 0-0-0Dallas Cowboys saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs34%
Magic number
17
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
Elimination number
17
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
19th by playoff odds.
NFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 2nd. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
NFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 4th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.
Upcoming
Sun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 63%Tie <1%WAS 37%34% → 10% – 20%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTBaltimore48%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 49%Tie <1%BAL 51%34% → 12% – 22%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTHouston76%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 81%Tie <1%DAL 19%34% → 14% – 25%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away8:20 PM EDTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultNYG 44%Tie <1%DAL 56%34% → 13% – 21%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 63%Tie <1%WAS 37%34% → 10% – 20%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Home4:25 PM EDTBaltimore48%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 49%Tie <1%BAL 51%34% → 12% – 22%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTHouston76%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 81%Tie <1%DAL 19%34% → 14% – 25%PlayoffsThu 8 Oct · Home8:15 PM EDTTampa Bay34%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 58%Tie <1%TB 42%34% → 10% – 20%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away8:20 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultGB 68%Tie <1%DAL 32%34% → 12% – 25%PlayoffsMon 26 Oct · Away8:15 PM EDTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultPHI 74%Tie <1%DAL 25%34% → 12% – 27%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 75%Tie <1%ARI 25%34% → 8% – 18%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTIndianapolis33%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 56%Tie <1%DAL 43%34% → 11% – 22%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home4:25 PM EST49ers61%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 36%Tie <1%SF 64%34% → 10% – 22%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTTennessee14%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 74%Tie <1%TEN 26%34% → 7% – 16%PlayoffsThu 26 Nov · Home4:30 PM ESTPhiladelphia65%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 38%Tie <1%PHI 62%34% → 9% – 22%PlayoffsMon 7 Dec · Away8:15 PM ESTSeattle80%PlayoffsMatch resultSEA 85%Tie <1%DAL 15%34% → 11% – 23%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Away4:25 PM ESTRams60%PlayoffsMatch resultLAR 76%Tie <1%DAL 24%34% → 10% – 23%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Home8:20 PM ESTJacksonville70%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 31%Tie <1%JAX 68%34% → 9% – 21%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTGiants18%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 69%Tie <1%NYG 31%34% → 7% – 17%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTWashington25%PlayoffsMatch resultWAS 51%Tie <1%DAL 48%34% → 7% – 17%Playoffs
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye2%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game19%
Dallas 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
3DallasHome6Minnesota
Alongside it: 2 Detroit v 7 Chicago · 4 Carolina v 5 Seattle
79% of this route
- above 49ers49ers under 13.5 wins (96%)
21% of this route
- below 49ers49ers under 16.5 wins (94%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rams | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Detroit | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Dallas | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 4 | Carolina | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 5 | Seattle | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | Minnesota | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 7 | Chicago | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| - | Washington | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | 49ers | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| - | Philadelphia | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Wild Card berth, on the road13%
Dallas 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
4ChicagoHome5Dallas
Alongside it: 2 Atlanta v 7 Minnesota · 3 Philadelphia v 6 New Orleans
45% of this route
- above Green BayGreen Bay 1+ game back (95%)
- above 49ers49ers 1+ game back (91%)
28% of this route
- below Green BayGreen Bay under 15.5 wins (93%)
27% of this route
- above Green BayGreen Bay out of the postseason (94%) · Green Bay 1+ game back (93%)
- below 49ers49ers under 15.5 wins (93%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Atlanta | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | Chicago | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | Dallas | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | New Orleans | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | Minnesota | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | Rams | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Carolina | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| - | 49ers | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| - | Green Bay | 6 | 10 | 1 |
Miss the postseason66%
Dallas under 9.5 wins
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Minnesota | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | New Orleans | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Philadelphia | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 5 | Atlanta | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Detroit | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | 49ers | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| - | Carolina | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | Washington | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Dallas | 6 | 11 | 0 |