A possible long-shot route: 100 of 20,000 simulations reached it.
Jets 13+ wins
NFL · 2026
30th by playoff odds32 clubs
Jets
30th by playoff odds · 0-0-0New York Jets saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs13%
Magic number
17
The fewest of this club's own wins that alone would clinch a playoff place, no matter what every other result does.
Win the next 17 games and a playoff place is mathematically theirs, whatever every other result does.
Elimination number
17
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 17 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
30th by playoff odds.
AFC East finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
AFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 16th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game and what follows it. Nothing has been played yet.
Upcoming
Sun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 29%Tie <1%GB 71%13% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 83%Tie <1%NYJ 17%13% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 84%Tie <1%NYJ 16%13% → 2% – 5%Playoffs
Full schedule17 to play
Sun 13 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTTennessee14%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 56%Tie <1%NYJ 44%13% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 20 Sep · Home1:00 PM EDTGreen Bay43%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 29%Tie <1%GB 71%13% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 27 Sep · Away1:00 PM EDTDetroit54%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 83%Tie <1%NYJ 17%13% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 4 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTChicago48%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 84%Tie <1%NYJ 16%13% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 11 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCleveland30%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 47%Tie <1%CLE 52%13% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultNE 89%Tie <1%NYJ 11%13% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 40%Tie <1%MIA 60%13% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTLas Vegas10%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 61%Tie <1%LV 39%13% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 8 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTKansas City24%PlayoffsMatch resultKC 69%Tie <1%NYJ 31%13% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTBuffalo63%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 20%Tie <1%BUF 79%13% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Away4:05 PM ESTChargers57%PlayoffsMatch resultLAC 85%Tie <1%NYJ 15%13% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTMiami30%PlayoffsMatch resultMIA 73%Tie <1%NYJ 27%13% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTDenver79%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 15%Tie <1%DEN 85%13% → 2% – 5%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Away4:05 PM ESTArizona8%PlayoffsMatch resultARI 54%Tie <1%NYJ 45%13% → 1% – 3%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTNew England67%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 18%Tie <1%NE 81%13% → 1% – 5%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTMinnesota54%PlayoffsMatch resultNYJ 25%Tie <1%MIN 75%13% → 1% – 4%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTBuffalo63%PlayoffsMatch resultBUF 87%Tie <1%NYJ 13%13% → 2% – 5%Playoffs
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye<1%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game4%
Jets 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
3JetsHome6Chargers
Alongside it: 2 Jacksonville v 7 Cleveland · 4 Denver v 5 Kansas City
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 3 | Jets | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | Denver | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 5 | Kansas City | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | Chargers | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| 7 | Cleveland | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Baltimore | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Buffalo | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | New England | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Wild Card berth, on the road8%
Jets 9+ wins
Wild Card Round
2CincinnatiHome7Jets
Alongside it: 3 Jacksonville v 6 Pittsburgh · 4 Denver v 5 Houston
74% of this route
- above Kansas CityKansas City out of the postseason (96%) · Kansas City 1+ game back (97%)
- above MiamiMiami out of the postseason (94%) · Miami 1+ game back (96%)
13% of this route
- above Kansas CityKansas City out of the postseason (98%) · Kansas City 1+ game back (96%)
- below MiamiMiami under 14.5 wins (92%)
12% of this route
- below Kansas CityKansas City under 14.5 wins (95%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | Cincinnati | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Jacksonville | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | Denver | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | Houston | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | Jets | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | Indianapolis | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| - | Buffalo | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Kansas City | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| - | Miami | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Miss the postseason87%
Jets under 9.5 wins
76% of this route
- below MiamiMiami under 12.5 wins (91%)
24% of this route
- above MiamiMiami 1+ game back (98%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Kansas City | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 3 | Jacksonville | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Cleveland | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 5 | Buffalo | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Houston | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | Miami | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| - | Baltimore | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Indianapolis | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Jets | 4 | 13 | 0 |