A possible long-shot route: 12 of 20,000 simulations reached it.
Tennessee 11+ wins
NFL · 2026
32th by playoff odds32 clubs
Tennessee
32th by playoff odds · 0-0-4Tennessee Titans saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
Playoffs6%
Elimination number
11
The fewest of this club's own losses that alone would end its playoff chances, no matter what every other result does.
Lose the next 11 games and the playoff place is mathematically gone, whatever every other result does.
Chances
The races beyond a playoff place, and where they finish.
32th by playoff odds.
AFC South finish
1st2nd3rd4th
1st · division winner
Most likely 4th. The division winner takes an automatic berth; everyone else chases 3 league-wide wild cards.
AFC finish
1st7th · playoff line16th
Most likely 16th. The top 7 in the conference make the playoffs.
Schedule
The next game, what follows it, and what already happened.
Upcoming
Sun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTIndianapolis40%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 74%Tie <1%TEN 26%6% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCleveland63%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 34%Tie <1%CLE 66%6% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTCincinnati38%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 73%Tie <1%TEN 27%6% → <1% – <1%Playoffs
Full schedule13 to play
Sunday · Home1:00 PM EDTHouston12%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 44%Tie <1%HOU 56%6% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 18 Oct · Away1:00 PM EDTIndianapolis40%PlayoffsMatch resultIND 74%Tie <1%TEN 26%6% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 25 Oct · Home1:00 PM EDTCleveland63%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 34%Tie <1%CLE 66%6% → 0% – <1%PlayoffsSun 1 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTCincinnati38%PlayoffsMatch resultCIN 73%Tie <1%TEN 27%6% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 15 Nov · Home1:00 PM ESTJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 25%Tie <1%JAX 75%6% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 22 Nov · Away1:00 PM ESTDallas37%PlayoffsMatch resultDAL 74%Tie <1%TEN 26%6% → <1% – <1%PlayoffsSun 29 Nov · Away4:05 PM ESTJacksonville81%PlayoffsMatch resultJAX 84%Tie <1%TEN 16%6% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 6 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTWashington18%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 45%Tie <1%WAS 55%6% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 13 Dec · Away1:00 PM ESTDetroit39%PlayoffsMatch resultDET 76%Tie <1%TEN 23%6% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 20 Dec · Home1:00 PM ESTIndianapolis40%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 38%Tie <1%IND 61%6% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 27 Dec · Away4:05 PM ESTLas Vegas46%PlayoffsMatch resultLV 73%Tie <1%TEN 26%6% → <1% – 1%PlayoffsSun 3 Jan · Home1:00 PM ESTPittsburgh46%PlayoffsMatch resultTEN 34%Tie <1%PIT 66%6% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsSun 10 Jan · Away1:00 PM ESTHouston12%PlayoffsMatch resultHOU 69%Tie <1%TEN 31%6% → 0% – 0%Playoffs
Season so far
Playoff odds after every published update. Dots mark the games with the biggest published swing; each opens its game record.
Paths
Every way the regular season can end, measured over 20,000 simulated seasons. The finishes are a complete split of it, so the bar is one whole; open a finish for what has to happen.
Reaches the postseason - stronger green is a better finishMisses it
Win the division with a first-round bye<1%
Win the division, host a Wild Card game3%
Tennessee 8+ wins
Wild Card Round
3TennesseeHome6Denver
Alongside it: 2 Cleveland v 7 Las Vegas · 4 Buffalo v 5 Baltimore
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chargers | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 2 | Cleveland | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 3 | Tennessee | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| 5 | Baltimore | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Denver | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | Las Vegas | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| - | Kansas City | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| - | Jacksonville | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Indianapolis | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Wild Card berth, on the road3%
Tennessee 8+ wins
Wild Card Round
3New EnglandHome6Tennessee
Alongside it: 2 Kansas City v 7 Cleveland · 4 Indianapolis v 5 Baltimore
75% of this route
- above PittsburghPittsburgh out of the postseason (>99%) · Pittsburgh under 9.5 wins (99%)
25% of this route
- below PittsburghPittsburgh under 13.5 wins (93%)
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | Kansas City | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 3 | New England | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 4 | Indianapolis | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| 5 | Baltimore | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Tennessee | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| 7 | Cleveland | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Jets | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Buffalo | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| - | Pittsburgh | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| - | Houston | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Miss the postseason94%
Tennessee under 7.5 wins
How the table finishedthe middle season
| Seed | Club | W | L | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | Indianapolis | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | Miami | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 5 | Las Vegas | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 6 | Cleveland | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | Jacksonville | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Cincinnati | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | New England | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| - | Tennessee | 4 | 13 | 0 |