MLS · 2026
updated yesterday · as of 7 Oct 2026
405 played · 105 to play
MLS
2026MLS saved.Your home page now opens on it — its chances, how far it has moved, and its next game. Saved in this browser only.Continue with Google
The MLS Cup race
The chance of winning the MLS Cup, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.
The chance of winning the MLS Cup, over the same simulated seasons the rest of the page is drawn from. One club wins it, so every club's number is its own slice of one trophy and they add to 100%.
Who ends the season with it, before the full table below.
The other 16 clubs share 2% of the MLS Cup between them.
Realistic chance14 of 30 clubs
Biggest gameSaturday 7:30 PM EDTEvery club with at least 1% of the MLS Cup.
NY Red Bulls v San Diego
The race
Chances by conference, each cut on its own line. Every conference carries 15 clubs.
Eastern Conference
PlayoffsPW-D-LGDPTSConferenceSupporters' ShieldMLS Cup
1NashvillePlayoffsClinched2718-6-33460Conference>99%
Supporters' Shield99%
MLS Cup28%
Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup2%
Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup12%
Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup5%
Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup4%
Conference<1%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup4%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Playoff line - top 9
10CincinnatiPlayoffs81%268-9-9-933ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Western Conference
PlayoffsPW-D-LGDPTSConferenceSupporters' ShieldMLS Cup
1VancouverPlayoffs>99%2715-5-73150Conference54%
Supporters' Shield1%
MLS Cup13%
Conference19%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup8%
Conference21%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup10%
Conference4%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup3%
Conference2%
Supporters' Shield<1%
MLS Cup3%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup3%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup2%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Playoff line - top 9
10PortlandPlayoffs24%279-5-13-332Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Conference<1%
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
ConferenceOut
Supporters' ShieldOut
MLS Cup<1%
Games that matter
The next 7 days, and what each result would do to each club - on the race labelled beside it.
Saturday7:30 PM EDTNY Red Bulls49% → 33% – 66%PlayoffsSan Diego28% → 17% – 48%PlayoffsMatch resultRBNY 39%Draw 27%SD 34%8th in the East, 12th in the West.Sunday7:00 PM EDTSt. Louis19% → 5% – 21%ConferenceLA Galaxy53% → 44% – 77%PlayoffsMatch resultSTL 53%Draw 24%LA 23%2nd and 9th in the West.Saturday7:30 PM EDTOrlando77% → 66% – 88%PlayoffsColumbus11% → 4% – 28%PlayoffsMatch resultORL 50%Draw 25%CLB 25%7th and 12th in the East.Saturday9:30 PM EDTColorado67% → 55% – 84%PlayoffsSan Jose4% → 1% – 7%ConferenceMatch resultCOL 40%Draw 27%SJ 33%8th and 4th in the West.
More games that matter4 more
Saturday7:30 PM EDTAtlanta3% → 2% – 12%PlayoffsCincinnati81% → 67% – 88%PlayoffsMatch resultATL 31%Draw 26%CIN 43%14th and 10th in the East.Saturday2:30 PM EDTChicago>99% → 100% – 100%PlayoffsNY City55% → 46% – 76%PlayoffsMatch resultCHI 51%Draw 25%NYC 24%4th and 9th in the East.Saturday10:30 PM EDTLAFC98% → 98% – >99%PlayoffsVancouver54% → 44% – 69%ConferenceMatch resultLAFC 40%Draw 27%VAN 33%6th and 1st in the West.Saturday8:30 PM EDTSporting KC<1% → 0% – 0%PlayoffsPortland24% → 10% – 34%PlayoffsMatch resultSKC 33%Draw 27%POR 40%15th and 10th in the West.
How the race got here
The season behind today's table, told two ways.
The trajectory
Playoff odds at every published forecast. The six biggest movers are drawn; tap any club to add it.
Show a club
Turning points
The results that changed a race. Each names the race it moved, and links to its game.
19 AUGMinnesota lose 2-1 to AtlantaPlayoffs: 61% → 38%.9 SEPNY City lose 2-1 to New EnglandPlayoffs: 79% → 62%.13 SEPSan Diego lose 5-0 to PhiladelphiaPlayoffs: 46% → 27%.18 SEPNY Red Bulls win 1-0 at NY CityPlayoffs: 33% → 52%.19 SEPPortland lose 1-0 to AtlantaPlayoffs: 57% → 36%.
The published forecast record begins 18 Jul 2026.